{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4e93780e-8cc6-48eb-b029-d79a18529116",
    "symbol": "CRBP2",
    "name": "Caisse R\u00e9gionale de Cr\u00e9dit Agricole Mutuel Brie Picardie Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 coop\u00e9rative",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 40.532,
    "architecture_energy": 24.968,
    "architecture_maturity": 66.756,
    "architecture_confidence": 95.218,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 35.49,
        "rotation_up": 32.77,
        "upward_expansion": 60.85,
        "deceleration": 85.28,
        "rotation_down": 27.12,
        "downward_expansion": 19.85
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        36.379666,
        36.602818,
        36.05631,
        34.27883
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 36.424999,
    "trend_reference": 32.138512,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.133375,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 21.480299,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.69574,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 13.084045,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.272608,
    "excess_performance": 0.219296,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.133375,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.106518,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.69574,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.008694,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.13084,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.126625,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.272608,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.881856,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 28135,
      "relative_activity": 0.804421,
      "balance": 1.881856,
      "dry_up": 1.007592,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.071781,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.361228,
      "from_high_reference": -0.140312,
      "from_low_reference": 0.576541
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 32.138512,
      "fair_value_reference": 21.480299,
      "structural_low": 24.703574,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.00909,
        "positive_rate": 0.7,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.7,
        "median_excess_return": 0.016917,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.057744,
        "worst_return": -0.069445,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.114578,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.077993,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.352823,
        "worst_return": -0.033042,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.255415,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.20971,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.348931,
        "worst_return": -0.033042,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.364284,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.32604,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.626232,
        "worst_return": 0.012542,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.000341,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.007977,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.022349,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-11-01",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.059662,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.020186,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.248738,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.010712,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-01",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.225383,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.013132,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.017164,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.109098,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
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        "return": 0.031548,
        "active": false
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        "active": true
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          27.654156
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 32.220001,
        "volume": 52203,
        "typical_volume": 35626.95,
        "trend": 28.100051,
        "fair_value": 19.487224,
        "relative_strength": 21.979298,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 56.253049,
        "energy": 49.363765,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 35464.95,
        "trend": 28.230978,
        "fair_value": 19.59792,
        "relative_strength": 24.653556,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.938587,
        "energy": 89.910491,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.038535,
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          28.432626,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 54121,
        "typical_volume": 36496.3,
        "trend": 28.382493,
        "fair_value": 19.713289,
        "relative_strength": 25.746496,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.763699,
        "energy": 94.447517,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 37851.0,
        "trend": 28.511049,
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        "relative_strength": 30.144714,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.315306,
        "energy": 94.08112,
        "activity_lines": [
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          28.986594
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 39566.6,
        "trend": 28.770669,
        "fair_value": 19.962106,
        "relative_strength": 34.237142,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 90.766359,
        "energy": 96.233718,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 36.935001,
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        "typical_volume": 40089.2,
        "trend": 29.044716,
        "fair_value": 20.095027,
        "relative_strength": 33.223131,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 16607,
        "typical_volume": 39374.0,
        "trend": 29.475132,
        "fair_value": 20.256201,
        "relative_strength": 47.226085,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 96.401097,
        "energy": 97.692048,
        "activity_lines": [
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          30.837792
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 37.599998,
        "volume": 10577,
        "typical_volume": 37846.3,
        "trend": 29.735007,
        "fair_value": 20.393396,
        "relative_strength": 29.919337,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 79.396403,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 36423.95,
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        "fair_value": 20.524394,
        "relative_strength": 23.449225,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 66.403329,
        "energy": 66.603224,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 35.700001,
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        "typical_volume": 35428.8,
        "trend": 30.349839,
        "fair_value": 20.655934,
        "relative_strength": 20.82891,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.706374,
        "energy": 61.902261,
        "activity_lines": [
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          32.152317
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 37.735001,
        "volume": 8939,
        "typical_volume": 34480.5,
        "trend": 30.70386,
        "fair_value": 20.80088,
        "relative_strength": 24.751162,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 53.505002,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.147333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 37.724998,
        "volume": 39568,
        "typical_volume": 34908.45,
        "trend": 31.076757,
        "fair_value": 20.947073,
        "relative_strength": 26.017366,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.215978,
        "energy": 45.875505,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.129,
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          33.081756
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 34.66,
        "volume": 35081,
        "typical_volume": 35487.4,
        "trend": 31.284255,
        "fair_value": 21.070351,
        "relative_strength": 14.899844,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.357727,
        "energy": 34.050983,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.342666,
          36.879091,
          35.13612,
          33.312932
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 36.435001,
        "volume": 40415,
        "typical_volume": 35942.5,
        "trend": 31.557484,
        "fair_value": 21.206745,
        "relative_strength": 19.301866,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.878851,
        "energy": 33.437091,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.344,
          36.791364,
          35.479396,
          33.645239
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 36.805,
        "volume": 37333,
        "typical_volume": 35694.7,
        "trend": 31.85185,
        "fair_value": 21.345172,
        "relative_strength": 17.689094,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.799692,
        "energy": 29.84631,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.462,
          36.733909,
          35.809181,
          33.983788
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 36.424999,
        "volume": 28135,
        "typical_volume": 34975.45,
        "trend": 32.138512,
        "fair_value": 21.480299,
        "relative_strength": 13.084045,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.53237,
        "energy": 24.968056,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.379666,
          36.602818,
          36.05631,
          34.27883
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}