{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4ea08c57-c5f4-4b46-ab34-6bac54877291", "symbol": "688345", "name": "Guangdong Greenway Technology Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 26.605, "architecture_energy": 18.093, "architecture_maturity": 40.748, "architecture_confidence": 93.996, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.55, "rotation_up": 28.32, "upward_expansion": 44.29, "deceleration": 81.22, "rotation_down": 34.26, "downward_expansion": 31.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 49.400667, 50.341273, 51.091405, 49.470003 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 55.619999, "trend_reference": 46.241059, "distance_from_trend": 0.202827, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 28.971958, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.919787, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 36.672627, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.587006, "excess_performance": 0.63021, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.202827, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.138651, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.919787, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020478, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.366726, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.050088, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.587006, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.201738, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9105659, "relative_activity": 0.672085, "balance": 1.201738, "dry_up": 0.804838, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.148176, "annualized_volatility": 0.574013, "from_high_reference": -0.15058, "from_low_reference": 1.063225 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 46.241059, "fair_value_reference": 28.971958, "structural_low": 34.220254, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.066427, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.083346, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.233296, "worst_return": -0.196321, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.018398, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.022861, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.450445, "worst_return": -0.381438, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.023483, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.01948, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.989978, "worst_return": -0.425462, "sufficient": false }, { 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"fair_value": 28.721379, "relative_strength": 14.46242, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.531381, "energy": 12.524107, "activity_lines": [ 50.682, 51.408182, 51.293903, 48.662145 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 41.509998, "volume": 10794670, "typical_volume": 13678680.05, "trend": 44.843988, "fair_value": 28.755081, "relative_strength": 7.771111, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": -3.02914, "energy": 11.559555, "activity_lines": [ 47.133333, 49.494, 50.534566, 48.469817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 50.150002, "volume": 13397743, "typical_volume": 13710725.25, "trend": 45.423131, "fair_value": 28.841549, "relative_strength": 28.233458, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.599545, "energy": 18.013407, "activity_lines": [ 47.208667, 49.379636, 50.573715, 48.81214 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 55.619999, "volume": 9105659, "typical_volume": 13548368.65, "trend": 46.241059, "fair_value": 28.971958, "relative_strength": 36.672627, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.604823, "energy": 18.09276, "activity_lines": [ 49.400667, 50.341273, 51.091405, 49.470003 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }