{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4ea51941-efe4-4f8d-96ff-7959d06f5afb", "symbol": "688091", "name": "Shanghai Yizhong Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.513, "architecture_energy": 50.56, "architecture_maturity": 27.362, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.18, "rotation_up": 19.22, "upward_expansion": 8.23, "deceleration": 46.9, "rotation_down": 55.51, "downward_expansion": 79.23 }, "activity_lines": [ 38.866001, 39.876364, 44.369953, 47.13443 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 40.860001, "trend_reference": 50.365333, "distance_from_trend": -0.188728, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 43.538804, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.061527, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.66855, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.238539, "excess_performance": -0.195335, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.188728, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.053224, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.061527, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.41972, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.226686, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.22997, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.238539, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.277471, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 16708287, "relative_activity": 0.766456, "balance": 0.277471, "dry_up": 0.934914, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.160736, "annualized_volatility": 0.537221, "from_high_reference": -0.511244, "from_low_reference": 0.158163 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 50.365333, "fair_value_reference": 43.538804, "structural_low": 35.279999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.005533, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.027491, "regime_survival": 0.8125, "best_return": 0.366788, "worst_return": -0.192189, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.042653, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.029353, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.451832, "worst_return": -0.205283, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.150111, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.137764, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.177069, "worst_return": -0.249365, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.884766, "energy": 48.972966, "activity_lines": [ 40.025334, 41.14491, 46.446334, 48.705613 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 36.310001, "volume": 14880701, "typical_volume": 21799102.4, "trend": 50.57, "fair_value": 43.64138, "relative_strength": -30.487206, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.732793, "energy": 52.695057, "activity_lines": [ 38.602001, 39.923273, 45.151905, 47.760882 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 40.860001, "volume": 16708287, "typical_volume": 21799403.7, "trend": 50.365333, "fair_value": 43.538804, "relative_strength": -22.66855, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.51256, "energy": 50.560437, "activity_lines": [ 38.866001, 39.876364, 44.369953, 47.13443 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }