{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4eb2f1f5-57fa-48ac-a8d6-bac3161ea80e", "symbol": "CHCM34", "name": "Charter Communications, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.174, "architecture_energy": 42.737, "architecture_maturity": 81.332, "architecture_confidence": 88.35, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.52, "rotation_up": 27.85, "upward_expansion": 24.14, "deceleration": 44.77, "rotation_down": 40.23, "downward_expansion": 65.14 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.904, 11.701455, 12.219238, 13.624624 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 12.98, "trend_reference": 15.355667, "distance_from_trend": -0.154709, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 27.208013, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.522935, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -31.181531, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.354871, "excess_performance": -0.297822, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.154709, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.129974, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.522935, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034133, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.311815, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.243871, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.354871, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.894204, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14441, "relative_activity": 0.7103, "balance": 0.894204, "dry_up": 0.948386, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.08842, "annualized_volatility": 0.573983, "from_high_reference": -0.484102, "from_low_reference": 0.385272 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.355667, "fair_value_reference": 27.208013, "structural_low": 9.37, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 34, "median_return": -0.041876, "positive_rate": 0.382353, "directional_follow_through": 0.588235, "median_excess_return": -0.027632, "regime_survival": 0.823529, "best_return": 0.229374, "worst_return": -0.195027, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.06062, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.007178, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.57156, "worst_return": -0.36829, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.138158, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.263128, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.106232, "worst_return": -0.31097, "sufficient": true }, { 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61.071536, "activity_lines": [ 11.708, 11.830364, 13.666333, 15.064559 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 11.09, "volume": 14950, "typical_volume": 19300.9, "trend": 16.306333, "fair_value": 27.751026, "relative_strength": -48.142119, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.225977, "energy": 61.465117, "activity_lines": [ 11.509333, 11.651455, 13.246381, 14.711914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 11.23, "volume": 18441, "typical_volume": 19695.4, "trend": 16.048667, "fair_value": 27.62141, "relative_strength": -44.448579, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.859931, "energy": 59.716895, "activity_lines": [ 11.376, 11.545818, 12.881286, 14.384409 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.21, "volume": 23788, "typical_volume": 19835.0, "trend": 15.752333, "fair_value": 27.4875, "relative_strength": -48.263526, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.809966, "energy": 82.787481, "activity_lines": [ 10.960667, 11.281636, 12.461286, 14.00772 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.37, "volume": 20456, "typical_volume": 20798.85, "trend": 15.535667, "fair_value": 27.34859, "relative_strength": -37.495377, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.404754, "energy": 59.424173, "activity_lines": [ 11.358, 11.439818, 12.295048, 13.789505 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.98, "volume": 14441, "typical_volume": 20330.85, "trend": 15.355667, "fair_value": 27.208013, "relative_strength": -31.181531, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.173574, "energy": 42.737148, "activity_lines": [ 11.904, 11.701455, 12.219238, 13.624624 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }