{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4eb69c0a-fdbb-4191-978e-00416dc59d89",
    "symbol": "JCQ",
    "name": "Jacquet Metals SA",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 55.316,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -53.165,
    "architecture_energy": 24.566,
    "architecture_maturity": 30.199,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.264,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 41.31,
        "rotation_up": 22.46,
        "upward_expansion": 4.35,
        "deceleration": 48.73,
        "rotation_down": 43.05,
        "downward_expansion": 73.01
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        21.383333,
        21.454283,
        21.63207,
        21.743303
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 21.049999,
    "trend_reference": 22.026504,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.044333,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 18.617915,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.130631,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -5.044972,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.126556,
    "excess_performance": -0.179867,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.044333,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045794,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.130631,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.109714,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.05045,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.126367,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.126556,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.591032,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 11203,
      "relative_activity": 0.8352,
      "balance": 0.591032,
      "dry_up": 0.507677,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.046324,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.293482,
      "from_high_reference": -0.17126,
      "from_low_reference": 0.23388
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 22.026504,
      "fair_value_reference": 18.617915,
      "structural_low": 19.26,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": -0.003378,
        "positive_rate": 0.466667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.466667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.012509,
        "regime_survival": 0.466667,
        "best_return": 0.192683,
        "worst_return": -0.146283,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": 0.022215,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.129504,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.021468,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.049341,
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        "worst_return": -0.185275,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.096618,
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        "worst_return": -0.137318,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      {
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        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 33419.4,
        "trend": 20.588652,
        "fair_value": 18.251425,
        "relative_strength": 4.387337,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "relative_strength": 7.591716,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 31620.5,
        "trend": 20.821989,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 31269.9,
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        "relative_strength": -1.253243,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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        "direction": 3.363965,
        "energy": 7.858335,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 31567.35,
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        "relative_strength": 3.440599,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 6444,
        "typical_volume": 29878.7,
        "trend": 21.22485,
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        "relative_strength": 4.901175,
        "stage": 2,
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 33.372941,
        "energy": 17.603581,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 26707.9,
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        "relative_strength": 2.248577,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": -3.007003,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 4.942347,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 21.6,
        "volume": 3342,
        "typical_volume": 19669.8,
        "trend": 21.729837,
        "fair_value": 18.493513,
        "relative_strength": -1.436458,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 18.368697,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 21.200001,
        "volume": 8192,
        "typical_volume": 18685.6,
        "trend": 21.81917,
        "fair_value": 18.516682,
        "relative_strength": -1.026706,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -24.368436,
        "energy": 35.2063,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.394676,
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          21.862594
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 21.5,
        "volume": 5415,
        "typical_volume": 17337.9,
        "trend": 21.932504,
        "fair_value": 18.54215,
        "relative_strength": 0.619491,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -48.111987,
        "energy": 44.587256,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.386035,
          21.542701,
          21.684858,
          21.842003
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 22.1,
        "volume": 5596,
        "typical_volume": 15915.65,
        "trend": 21.977504,
        "fair_value": 18.569333,
        "relative_strength": 3.178988,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -36.404287,
        "energy": 18.644317,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.619937,
          21.641745,
          21.726786,
          21.852809
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 21.25,
        "volume": 5025,
        "typical_volume": 14936.5,
        "trend": 22.019837,
        "fair_value": 18.595833,
        "relative_strength": -2.097704,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -50.587936,
        "energy": 22.584395,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.543333,
          21.569828,
          21.687524,
          21.805873
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 21.049999,
        "volume": 11203,
        "typical_volume": 13413.55,
        "trend": 22.026504,
        "fair_value": 18.617915,
        "relative_strength": -5.044972,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -53.164997,
        "energy": 24.566043,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.383333,
          21.454283,
          21.63207,
          21.743303
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}