{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4eb6cdae-3cb9-4b41-8b4c-6047ba0cfc40", "symbol": "TTM", "name": "Titan Minerals Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.201, "architecture_energy": 79.698, "architecture_maturity": 39.159, "architecture_confidence": 85.868, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.4, "rotation_up": 11.64, "upward_expansion": 19.18, "deceleration": 37.91, "rotation_down": 72.34, "downward_expansion": 92.51 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.593, 0.629, 0.683214, 0.733054 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.615, "trend_reference": 0.808667, "distance_from_trend": -0.239489, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.48835, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.259343, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.775466, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.289017, "excess_performance": -0.352723, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.239489, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.036728, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.259343, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.458876, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.187755, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.477123, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.289017, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.266093, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1271654, "relative_activity": 0.665388, "balance": 1.266093, "dry_up": 0.546953, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.116323, "annualized_volatility": 0.522641, "from_high_reference": -0.495902, "from_low_reference": 0.732394 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.808667, "fair_value_reference": 0.48835, "structural_low": 0.52, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.054053, "positive_rate": 0.344828, "directional_follow_through": 0.551724, "median_excess_return": -0.033086, "regime_survival": 0.793103, "best_return": 0.627909, "worst_return": -0.285715, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.053571, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.074682, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.388888, "worst_return": -0.431579, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.141304, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.140972, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 1.765625, "worst_return": -0.37705, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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}, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.585, "volume": 1080531, "typical_volume": 2260469.3, "trend": 0.828333, "fair_value": 0.487842, "relative_strength": -17.374658, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.672851, "energy": 80.368887, "activity_lines": [ 0.63, 0.664455, 0.7145, 0.764086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.55, "volume": 980359, "typical_volume": 2131790.5, "trend": 0.817667, "fair_value": 0.487571, "relative_strength": -24.566446, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.938096, "energy": 88.949095, "activity_lines": [ 0.596667, 0.639, 0.694762, 0.746129 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.615, "volume": 1271654, "typical_volume": 1911146.05, "trend": 0.808667, "fair_value": 0.48835, "relative_strength": -18.775466, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.20056, "energy": 79.698367, "activity_lines": [ 0.593, 0.629, 0.683214, 0.733054 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }