{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4ebd82a7-45a3-4031-b748-b7460ac38753",
    "symbol": "PEBK",
    "name": "Peoples Bancorp of North Carolina",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 52.437,
    "architecture_energy": 29.424,
    "architecture_maturity": 27.342,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.53,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 34.51,
        "rotation_up": 44.34,
        "upward_expansion": 76.25,
        "deceleration": 63.11,
        "rotation_down": 23.88,
        "downward_expansion": 2.92
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        42.866,
        42.854273,
        42.368849,
        41.518384
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 43.05,
    "trend_reference": 40.255138,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.069429,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 29.614651,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.453672,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 3.512742,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.126816,
    "excess_performance": -0.060637,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.069429,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.083853,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.453672,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.038706,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.035127,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.005872,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.126816,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.702866,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 273260,
      "relative_activity": 1.575619,
      "balance": 3.702866,
      "dry_up": 1.243098,
      "accumulation_observations": 6,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.058568,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.211077,
      "from_high_reference": -0.059633,
      "from_low_reference": 0.608829
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 40.255138,
      "fair_value_reference": 29.614651,
      "structural_low": 36.170323,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": 0.002648,
        "positive_rate": 0.647059,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.647059,
        "median_excess_return": 0.008055,
        "regime_survival": 0.529412,
        "best_return": 0.255814,
        "worst_return": -0.383903,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.056107,
        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": 0.040748,
        "regime_survival": 0.222222,
        "best_return": 0.395704,
        "worst_return": -0.421835,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.02951,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.069073,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.375463,
        "worst_return": -0.293983,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.076211,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.088176,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.61336,
        "worst_return": -0.088082,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.089397,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.022761,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.015798,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.073585,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.064201,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.035428,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.048172,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-08-08",
        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.121416,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-09-05",
        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.091138,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-10-17",
        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.152357,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-12-05",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.115396,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-04-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.030397,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-04-10",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.001015,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.011989,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "typical_volume": 49780.95,
        "trend": 22.822433,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "direction": 67.282193,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 140737.6,
        "trend": 37.609111,
        "fair_value": 28.167319,
        "relative_strength": 9.37512,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 44.37,
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        "typical_volume": 147868.7,
        "trend": 38.091395,
        "fair_value": 28.337173,
        "relative_strength": 9.725402,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 278529,
        "typical_volume": 152204.7,
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        "relative_strength": 7.926968,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.96831,
        "energy": 49.972403,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 43.35,
        "volume": 135916,
        "typical_volume": 153968.35,
        "trend": 39.168147,
        "fair_value": 28.845594,
        "relative_strength": 7.664357,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 59.880852,
        "energy": 44.017404,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 41.6,
        "volume": 89005,
        "typical_volume": 155179.6,
        "trend": 39.348185,
        "fair_value": 29.001362,
        "relative_strength": 1.320199,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.101357,
        "energy": 31.93613,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.646,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 42.54,
        "volume": 139446,
        "typical_volume": 157321.15,
        "trend": 39.523111,
        "fair_value": 29.16135,
        "relative_strength": 7.705228,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.887369,
        "energy": 25.401214,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.507667,
          42.646336,
          41.826831,
          40.885903
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 43.02,
        "volume": 294592,
        "typical_volume": 166588.3,
        "trend": 39.74129,
        "fair_value": 29.309787,
        "relative_strength": 10.224414,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.107118,
        "energy": 25.692901,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.651333,
          42.762249,
          42.034553,
          41.111509
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 43.0,
        "volume": 155065,
        "typical_volume": 168807.1,
        "trend": 40.002141,
        "fair_value": 29.460776,
        "relative_strength": 9.078841,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.534251,
        "energy": 23.610122,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.75,
          42.814293,
          42.212987,
          41.321748
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 43.05,
        "volume": 273260,
        "typical_volume": 173430.25,
        "trend": 40.255138,
        "fair_value": 29.614651,
        "relative_strength": 3.512742,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.437018,
        "energy": 29.424015,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.866,
          42.854273,
          42.368849,
          41.518384
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}