{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4ed7192d-13ff-4dd4-8da7-4d3750ed9f2d", "symbol": "ULN", "name": "Unilever PLC", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 81.34, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 30.017, "architecture_energy": 57.388, "architecture_maturity": 6.699, "architecture_confidence": 62.21, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.74, "rotation_up": 73.64, "upward_expansion": 56.05, "deceleration": 20.4, "rotation_down": 14.06, "downward_expansion": 26.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 1104.066667, 1084.53127, 1053.043487, 1065.882061 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1085.0, "trend_reference": 1094.55874, "distance_from_trend": -0.008733, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1163.792051, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.067703, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -8.838229, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.124359, "excess_performance": -0.069693, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.008733, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.039861, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.067703, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.048378, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.088382, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.163557, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.124359, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.347053, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3429, "relative_activity": 2.177973, "balance": 0.347053, "dry_up": 0.551162, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.025554, "annualized_volatility": 0.284011, "from_high_reference": -0.188358, "from_low_reference": 0.118285 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1094.55874, "fair_value_reference": 1163.792051, "structural_low": 970.235737, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.03773, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.3, "median_excess_return": -0.032403, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.041515, "worst_return": -0.097015, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.069706, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.125, "median_excess_return": -0.093001, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.254356, "worst_return": -0.202192, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.031902, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.050764, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.259426, "worst_return": -0.142651, 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[ 1042.881323, 1022.472311, 1032.240744, 1066.648055 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 1080.0, "volume": 1218, "typical_volume": 1401.4, "trend": 1102.575684, "fair_value": 1160.497297, "relative_strength": -10.786211, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 9.079086, "energy": 39.381097, "activity_lines": [ 1060.68066, 1034.426282, 1033.267716, 1065.00052 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1080.0, "volume": 36, "typical_volume": 1403.2, "trend": 1099.614579, "fair_value": 1161.181869, "relative_strength": -10.365213, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 16.710151, "energy": 49.598523, "activity_lines": [ 1072.546663, 1045.370722, 1035.052273, 1063.544024 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1080.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1403.2, "trend": 1096.653475, "fair_value": 1161.902293, "relative_strength": -9.455864, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": 13.514939, "energy": 67.18423, "activity_lines": [ 1078.906665, 1055.305632, 1037.597055, 1062.278567 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1164.0, "volume": 6, "typical_volume": 1403.5, "trend": 1096.492371, "fair_value": 1163.157774, "relative_strength": -2.750889, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 61.06901, "energy": 84.505045, "activity_lines": [ 1108.6, 1078.640542, 1048.902063, 1066.623504 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1085.0, "volume": 3429, "typical_volume": 1574.4, "trend": 1094.55874, "fair_value": 1163.792051, "relative_strength": -8.838229, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 30.016619, "energy": 57.388175, "activity_lines": [ 1104.066667, 1084.53127, 1053.043487, 1065.882061 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }