{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4ee7894c-1ae6-4922-9cb2-cb21fae2effe",
    "symbol": "4807",
    "name": "Regal Holding Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 37.705,
    "architecture_energy": 24.107,
    "architecture_maturity": 79.684,
    "architecture_confidence": 93.693,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 35.86,
        "rotation_up": 23.9,
        "upward_expansion": 57.65,
        "deceleration": 91.12,
        "rotation_down": 28.12,
        "downward_expansion": 21.31
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        34.686666,
        36.51,
        34.176429,
        30.210645
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 31.549999,
    "trend_reference": 25.576667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.233546,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 19.880449,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.586986,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 7.632369,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.76257,
    "excess_performance": 0.321198,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.233546,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.350761,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.586986,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.282151,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.076324,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.130746,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.76257,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.105106,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1225479,
      "relative_activity": 0.69371,
      "balance": 2.105106,
      "dry_up": 0.623324,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.172498,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.763584,
      "from_high_reference": -0.312636,
      "from_low_reference": 1.221831
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 25.576667,
      "fair_value_reference": 19.880449,
      "structural_low": 14.2,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.038095,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010441,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.048296,
        "worst_return": -0.022727,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.065657,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.01283,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.017143,
        "worst_return": -0.088068,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.045714,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.046747,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.5,
        "worst_return": -0.159091,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.119425,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.143973,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": -0.111111,
        "worst_return": -0.127738,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-07-12",
        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.014458,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.007576,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-12-27",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.157143,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.058201,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-10-10",
        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.019608,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-11-21",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-12-12",
        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.042614,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-02",
        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.048517,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-02-27",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.067606,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-04-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.112149,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-04-10",
        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.115789,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-05-01",
        "end": "2026-05-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.161446,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-05-22",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.660131,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.15302,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-11",
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        "typical_volume": 126821.65,
        "trend": 19.875354,
        "fair_value": 22.741613,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 19.199572,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 67.818311,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": 32.686863,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 1601592.35,
        "trend": 23.338333,
        "fair_value": 19.456731,
        "relative_strength": 50.969973,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.798894,
        "energy": 63.52512,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 38.099998,
        "volume": 1426315,
        "typical_volume": 1651545.2,
        "trend": 24.011667,
        "fair_value": 19.581731,
        "relative_strength": 37.716619,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.735125,
        "energy": 53.65078,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.643333,
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          32.433095,
          28.371505
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 37.25,
        "volume": 872309,
        "typical_volume": 1687432.2,
        "trend": 24.641667,
        "fair_value": 19.701923,
        "relative_strength": 35.552073,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.019497,
        "energy": 46.07329,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.246666,
          38.633636,
          33.407619,
          29.225591
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 33.5,
        "volume": 880450,
        "typical_volume": 1719892.6,
        "trend": 25.14,
        "fair_value": 19.79968,
        "relative_strength": 18.513327,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.43795,
        "energy": 37.112092,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.643333,
          37.8,
          33.926429,
          29.797097
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 31.549999,
        "volume": 1225479,
        "typical_volume": 1766557.2,
        "trend": 25.576667,
        "fair_value": 19.880449,
        "relative_strength": 7.632369,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.705107,
        "energy": 24.106894,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.686666,
          36.51,
          34.176429,
          30.210645
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}