{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4ef2ce21-772c-46f6-9f84-d3e9be88c391", "symbol": "300184", "name": "Wuhan P&S Information Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 65.805, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -18.158, "architecture_energy": 31.897, "architecture_maturity": 48.598, "architecture_confidence": 49.194, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.78, "rotation_up": 16.78, "upward_expansion": 18.49, "deceleration": 68.71, "rotation_down": 63.13, "downward_expansion": 41.16 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.438, 13.738364, 14.27519, 13.737613 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 12.8, "trend_reference": 12.929333, "distance_from_trend": -0.010003, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 8.945064, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.430957, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 3.425587, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.154193, "excess_performance": 0.146793, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.010003, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.126379, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.430957, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.401922, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.034256, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.088258, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.154193, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.257458, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 340098744, "relative_activity": 0.766848, "balance": 2.257458, "dry_up": 0.97717, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.188221, "annualized_volatility": 0.792389, "from_high_reference": -0.304348, "from_low_reference": 0.354497 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.929333, "fair_value_reference": 8.945064, "structural_low": 10.08, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.003817, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.019317, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.159292, "worst_return": -0.17479, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.023351, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.026327, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.147899, "worst_return": -0.128008, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.010084, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.112096, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.34, "worst_return": -0.242017, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-08-30", "end": "2024-12-13", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.451488, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-12-20", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.019811, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.036889, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.110938, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.021256, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "Developing", 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"typical_volume": 417220445.15, "trend": 12.655333, "fair_value": 8.767949, "relative_strength": 28.994121, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.756737, "energy": 49.797616, "activity_lines": [ 16.496667, 16.214182, 14.953667, 13.927548 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 11.52, "volume": 526935300, "typical_volume": 432088300.1, "trend": 12.707, "fair_value": 8.809615, "relative_strength": -2.925016, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.389602, "energy": 12.904721, "activity_lines": [ 14.922, 15.427636, 14.741952, 13.854301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.18, "volume": 498053638, "typical_volume": 445093980.5, "trend": 12.786, "fair_value": 8.855705, "relative_strength": 2.177064, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.470421, "energy": 17.239477, "activity_lines": [ 13.746667, 14.822727, 14.592571, 13.820301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.54, "volume": 368421239, "typical_volume": 451553718.35, "trend": 12.835667, "fair_value": 8.895192, "relative_strength": -1.726126, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -24.435767, "energy": 30.021041, "activity_lines": [ 12.691333, 14.137455, 14.375952, 13.739914 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.8, "volume": 340098744, "typical_volume": 443502193.05, "trend": 12.929333, "fair_value": 8.945064, "relative_strength": 3.425587, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.158426, "energy": 31.897281, "activity_lines": [ 12.438, 13.738364, 14.27519, 13.737613 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }