{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4ef905fd-4ef5-42cf-9a2f-5bb749abf06a", "symbol": "301180", "name": "Suzhou Wanxiang Technology Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.787, "architecture_energy": 84.933, "architecture_maturity": 34.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.68, "rotation_up": 18.72, "upward_expansion": 20.92, "deceleration": 37.59, "rotation_down": 69.58, "downward_expansion": 96.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.971333, 11.619273, 13.520905, 15.004344 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 11.54, "trend_reference": 16.545333, "distance_from_trend": -0.302522, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 15.308393, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.246165, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -31.383602, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.343572, "excess_performance": -0.350972, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.302522, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.075559, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.246165, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.470515, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.313836, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.260283, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.343572, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.249772, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 16923403, "relative_activity": 0.686282, "balance": 0.249772, "dry_up": 0.853666, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.121584, "annualized_volatility": 0.511942, "from_high_reference": -0.507679, "from_low_reference": 0.203337 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 16.545333, "fair_value_reference": 15.308393, "structural_low": 9.59, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.038402, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": 0.010412, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.106095, "worst_return": -0.189297, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.037425, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.120445, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.098876, "worst_return": -0.016591, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.047149, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.090249, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.113109, "worst_return": 0.036882, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.1383, "energy": 89.992993, "activity_lines": [ 12.691333, 13.723636, 15.708143, 16.608968 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 10.7, "volume": 20910715, "typical_volume": 33045613.75, "trend": 17.116, "fair_value": 15.427102, "relative_strength": -35.485364, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.671795, "energy": 92.299219, "activity_lines": [ 11.912, 12.97, 15.088571, 16.183183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.15, "volume": 25340356, "typical_volume": 31016856.65, "trend": 16.928667, "fair_value": 15.384954, "relative_strength": -38.49659, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.335022, "energy": 93.037881, "activity_lines": [ 11.166, 12.268909, 14.453476, 15.733763 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.8, "volume": 21029648, "typical_volume": 28539936.75, "trend": 16.717333, "fair_value": 15.341102, "relative_strength": -32.996554, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.946352, "energy": 88.49914, "activity_lines": [ 10.888, 11.825455, 13.92719, 15.338366 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.54, "volume": 16923403, "typical_volume": 24659551.75, "trend": 16.545333, "fair_value": 15.308393, "relative_strength": -31.383602, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.786876, "energy": 84.933346, "activity_lines": [ 10.971333, 11.619273, 13.520905, 15.004344 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }