{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4efdcdb8-8d02-45af-8fef-228db50c733f", "symbol": "GTLB", "name": "Gitlab Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 83.028, "architecture_energy": 77.195, "architecture_maturity": 22.0, "architecture_confidence": 72.227, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.79, "rotation_up": 75.82, "upward_expansion": 92.07, "deceleration": 42.73, "rotation_down": 11.8, "downward_expansion": 16.4 }, "activity_lines": [ 34.972667, 33.038182, 30.31281, 28.719849 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 38.97, "trend_reference": 28.099, "distance_from_trend": 0.386882, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 47.277436, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.175717, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.798839, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.212885, "excess_performance": 0.025432, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.386882, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.086875, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.175717, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.288692, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.027988, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.414201, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.212885, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.399205, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21974134, "relative_activity": 0.807702, "balance": 2.399205, "dry_up": 0.736425, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.111062, "annualized_volatility": 0.640543, "from_high_reference": -0.256014, "from_low_reference": 1.080619 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.099, "fair_value_reference": 47.277436, "structural_low": 18.73, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.06373, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.222222, "median_excess_return": -0.050248, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.260559, "worst_return": -0.256443, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.011515, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.034434, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.277459, "worst_return": -0.303189, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.046383, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.109803, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.094672, "worst_return": -0.187438, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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47.845256, "relative_strength": -30.2865, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 1.700905, "energy": 15.780963, "activity_lines": [ 28.55, 27.855273, 25.843095, 26.67071 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 32.07, "volume": 14951192, "typical_volume": 31044109.75, "trend": 28.666667, "fair_value": 47.737115, "relative_strength": -22.775306, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 33.137322, "energy": 26.188833, "activity_lines": [ 29.534, 28.822182, 26.500381, 26.878925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 32.42, "volume": 24348445, "typical_volume": 30929730.45, "trend": 28.43, "fair_value": 47.611026, "relative_strength": -22.517987, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 41.738392, "energy": 34.059006, "activity_lines": [ 30.566667, 29.660727, 27.179, 27.121075 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 32.72, "volume": 19718112, "typical_volume": 30254871.05, "trend": 28.254, "fair_value": 47.500256, "relative_strength": -17.469072, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 40.425287, "energy": 51.833915, "activity_lines": [ 31.612667, 30.401636, 27.857476, 27.397849 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 31.28, "volume": 18912661, "typical_volume": 28227633.5, "trend": 28.035333, "fair_value": 47.393205, "relative_strength": -18.74835, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 33.065925, "energy": 50.079264, "activity_lines": [ 31.85, 30.758182, 28.368238, 27.593075 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 34.51, "volume": 19535108, "typical_volume": 27458401.55, "trend": 27.979667, "fair_value": 47.309487, "relative_strength": -10.060523, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.582941, "energy": 66.17809, "activity_lines": [ 32.849333, 31.563455, 29.156286, 28.010796 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 38.97, "volume": 21974134, "typical_volume": 27205752.6, "trend": 28.099, "fair_value": 47.277436, "relative_strength": -2.798839, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.028122, "energy": 77.194745, "activity_lines": [ 34.972667, 33.038182, 30.31281, 28.719849 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }