{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4f0bb00e-5141-4eb2-b76f-418d7e7ab3f9", "symbol": "300831", "name": "Xi'an Peri Power Semiconductor Converting Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 49.35, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -34.672, "architecture_energy": 58.854, "architecture_maturity": 12.169, "architecture_confidence": 67.619, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.31, "rotation_up": 16.53, "upward_expansion": 20.71, "deceleration": 43.51, "rotation_down": 67.81, "downward_expansion": 60.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.010667, 16.284182, 17.966143, 17.992473 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 15.62, "trend_reference": 17.396334, "distance_from_trend": -0.10211, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 13.884976, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.124957, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -4.710189, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.170915, "excess_performance": 0.163515, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.10211, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.085439, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.124957, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.411631, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.047102, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.167287, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.170915, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.588749, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 33583501, "relative_activity": 0.474249, "balance": 0.588749, "dry_up": 0.531512, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.183542, "annualized_volatility": 0.827324, "from_high_reference": -0.417382, "from_low_reference": 0.435662 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.396334, "fair_value_reference": 13.884976, "structural_low": 12.22, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.118812, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.135161, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.437613, "worst_return": -0.079487, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.023142, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.018027, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.32821, "worst_return": -0.185897, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.051427, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.133237, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.321881, "worst_return": 0.022315, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"2026-07-24", "close": 14.49, "volume": 43735900, "typical_volume": 83465597.45, "trend": 17.184667, "fair_value": 13.855797, "relative_strength": -9.015635, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.145235, "energy": 42.278744, "activity_lines": [ 15.815334, 17.449455, 18.616286, 18.252968 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.77, "volume": 28775900, "typical_volume": 75802506.9, "trend": 17.243, "fair_value": 13.866294, "relative_strength": -5.480606, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.337532, "energy": 55.792405, "activity_lines": [ 15.066667, 16.709091, 18.239762, 18.097183 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.62, "volume": 33583501, "typical_volume": 70814015.3, "trend": 17.396334, "fair_value": 13.884976, "relative_strength": -4.710189, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -34.672495, "energy": 58.854275, "activity_lines": [ 15.010667, 16.284182, 17.966143, 17.992473 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }