{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4f156433-aa3f-436b-9179-2f9e4a43b377", "symbol": "NTSE", "name": "WISDOMTREE TRUST EMERGING MKTS EFFICIENT CORE FD", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 76.154, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 9.665, "architecture_energy": 14.35, "architecture_maturity": 29.37, "architecture_confidence": 95.279, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 61.2, "rotation_up": 17.22, "upward_expansion": 44.65, "deceleration": 87.36, "rotation_down": 39.67, "downward_expansion": 29.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 45.113673, 45.874922, 46.011353, 45.103446 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 45.7398, "trend_reference": 43.925094, "distance_from_trend": 0.041314, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 32.048593, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.427202, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.567691, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.096287, "excess_performance": -0.029338, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.041314, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.073631, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.427202, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.135962, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.005677, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.136834, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.096287, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.038492, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10587, "relative_activity": 0.453198, "balance": 1.038492, "dry_up": 0.656906, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.065496, "annualized_volatility": 0.289111, "from_high_reference": -0.193777, "from_low_reference": 0.385412 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 43.925094, "fair_value_reference": 32.048593, "structural_low": 38.15, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.015981, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.004797, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.047308, "worst_return": -0.077244, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.010369, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.007285, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.092938, "worst_return": -0.062671, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.042791, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.048011, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.268736, "worst_return": 0.032445, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"2026-07-24", "close": 44.3505, "volume": 10635, "typical_volume": 24743.0, "trend": 43.517149, "fair_value": 31.797329, "relative_strength": 2.500614, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.434046, "energy": 18.42802, "activity_lines": [ 45.484887, 46.44437, 45.932384, 44.903477 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 44.59, "volume": 14028, "typical_volume": 23639.4, "trend": 43.713124, "fair_value": 31.917085, "relative_strength": 1.70382, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.745912, "energy": 16.495508, "activity_lines": [ 44.9982, 46.042627, 45.928445, 44.972693 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 45.7398, "volume": 10587, "typical_volume": 23360.65, "trend": 43.925094, "fair_value": 32.048593, "relative_strength": 0.567691, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.665271, "energy": 14.349729, "activity_lines": [ 45.113673, 45.874922, 46.011353, 45.103446 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }