{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4f1dbe48-2efa-48f9-8d57-7d937468cb23", "symbol": "XO", "name": "Exotic Food Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 66.976, "architecture_energy": 65.304, "architecture_maturity": 57.453, "architecture_confidence": 82.386, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.02, "rotation_up": 69.54, "upward_expansion": 87.67, "deceleration": 65.48, "rotation_down": 17.36, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.44, 18.949091, 17.00381, 16.089329 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 18.9, "trend_reference": 15.151928, "distance_from_trend": 0.247366, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 19.266603, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.019028, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.801517, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.375093, "excess_performance": 0.182768, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.247366, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.089416, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.019028, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.307324, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.078015, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.323969, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.375093, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.062206, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2769100, "relative_activity": 1.140352, "balance": 1.062206, "dry_up": 1.307662, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.074481, "annualized_volatility": 0.530943, "from_high_reference": -0.078049, "from_low_reference": 0.488189 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.151928, "fair_value_reference": 19.266603, "structural_low": 12.7, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.002509, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.002731, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.271008, "worst_return": -0.222764, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.11001, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.117559, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.773743, "worst_return": -0.207764, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.109847, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.177839, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.610336, "worst_return": -0.299816, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.879508, "energy": 90.196329, "activity_lines": [ 18.846667, 17.390909, 15.707343, 15.153378 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 20.1, "volume": 4506000, "typical_volume": 2302305.0, "trend": 14.800891, "fair_value": 19.281149, "relative_strength": 11.88702, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.420648, "energy": 92.275804, "activity_lines": [ 19.433334, 18.125455, 16.213333, 15.507876 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.9, "volume": 2956500, "typical_volume": 2373985.0, "trend": 14.986577, "fair_value": 19.276804, "relative_strength": 12.335504, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.567416, "energy": 69.36854, "activity_lines": [ 19.66, 18.690909, 16.670476, 15.83685 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.9, "volume": 2769100, "typical_volume": 2428285.0, "trend": 15.151928, "fair_value": 19.266603, "relative_strength": 7.801517, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.976197, "energy": 65.30404, "activity_lines": [ 19.44, 18.949091, 17.00381, 16.089329 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }