{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4f285a1f-f16e-4bce-a0b5-20fc6fc72b50", "symbol": "GIC", "name": "Global Industrial Co", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 87.881, "architecture_energy": 85.626, "architecture_maturity": 29.43, "architecture_confidence": 78.452, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.34, "rotation_up": 79.42, "upward_expansion": 91.77, "deceleration": 44.94, "rotation_down": 9.14, "downward_expansion": 18.44 }, "activity_lines": [ 36.422, 35.193455, 33.552671, 32.884006 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 39.13, "trend_reference": 32.129664, "distance_from_trend": 0.217878, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 30.603492, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.278612, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 9.152546, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.219835, "excess_performance": 0.09421, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.217878, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.064863, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.278612, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.311382, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.091525, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.244622, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.219835, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.016898, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 921614, "relative_activity": 1.745487, "balance": 5.016898, "dry_up": 1.179267, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.054595, "annualized_volatility": 0.294143, "from_high_reference": -0.028068, "from_low_reference": 0.512581 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.129664, "fair_value_reference": 30.603492, "structural_low": 27.746729, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.010933, "positive_rate": 0.684211, "directional_follow_through": 0.684211, "median_excess_return": -0.006433, "regime_survival": 0.789474, "best_return": 0.329324, "worst_return": -0.232178, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.104016, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.030199, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.348751, "worst_return": -0.294692, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.028118, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.034507, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.414896, "worst_return": -0.18229, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"relative_strength": 2.233631, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.210271, "energy": 57.227058, "activity_lines": [ 34.356, 33.582909, 32.536945, 32.146634 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 35.74, "volume": 550854, "typical_volume": 516107.75, "trend": 31.834725, "fair_value": 30.544542, "relative_strength": 3.092239, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.400414, "energy": 62.786482, "activity_lines": [ 34.844, 34.134545, 32.896163, 32.413344 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 39.13, "volume": 921614, "typical_volume": 527998.2, "trend": 32.129664, "fair_value": 30.603492, "relative_strength": 9.152546, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.881474, "energy": 85.626284, "activity_lines": [ 36.422, 35.193455, 33.552671, 32.884006 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }