{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4f299f1d-a830-4f05-895b-cc5f38ffbd3d",
    "symbol": "EUGB",
    "name": "WisdomTree Long GBP Short EUR",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 72.013,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 64.992,
    "architecture_energy": 66.06,
    "architecture_maturity": 40.505,
    "architecture_confidence": 59.754,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 13.12,
        "rotation_up": 68.52,
        "upward_expansion": 83.0,
        "deceleration": 69.05,
        "rotation_down": 13.73,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        53.287849
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 53.82,
    "trend_reference": 53.039666,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.014712,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 51.739915,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.040203,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -12.372556,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.020671,
    "excess_performance": -0.15022,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.014712,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.011332,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040203,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.006636,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.123726,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.012721,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.020671,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.010135,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 1.010135,
      "dry_up": 0.652282,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.004574,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.035927,
      "from_high_reference": -0.065138,
      "from_low_reference": 0.131861
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 51.739915,
      "structural_low": 52.209999,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 34,
        "median_return": 0.002829,
        "positive_rate": 0.588235,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.588235,
        "median_excess_return": -0.014202,
        "regime_survival": 0.764706,
        "best_return": 0.01991,
        "worst_return": -0.016199,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "regime_survival": 0.583333,
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        "worst_return": -0.010778,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": 0.006309,
        "sufficient": false
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        "trend": 52.292724,
        "fair_value": 51.303601,
        "relative_strength": -9.54268,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.407379,
        "energy": 51.805376,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 53.060001,
        "volume": 83,
        "typical_volume": 283.95,
        "trend": 52.32539,
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        "relative_strength": -11.10041,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 63.753103,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 302.3,
        "trend": 52.342724,
        "fair_value": 51.36578,
        "relative_strength": -11.238764,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 58.246392,
        "energy": 46.709988,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 300,
        "typical_volume": 317.3,
        "trend": 52.389334,
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        "stage": 3,
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        "direction": 82.57995,
        "energy": 63.691643,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 53.099998,
        "volume": 135,
        "typical_volume": 297.55,
        "trend": 52.445334,
        "fair_value": 51.431549,
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        "direction": 70.257385,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 53.099998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 284.05,
        "trend": 52.497333,
        "fair_value": 51.460876,
        "relative_strength": -10.653289,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 67.807995,
        "energy": 52.52313,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 53.259998,
        "volume": 125,
        "typical_volume": 290.3,
        "trend": 52.559333,
        "fair_value": 51.487767,
        "relative_strength": -12.748898,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "trend": 52.617667,
        "fair_value": 51.51453,
        "relative_strength": -14.551807,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 53.380001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 265.4,
        "trend": 52.668,
        "fair_value": 51.544081,
        "relative_strength": -11.271056,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.531336,
        "energy": 83.182035,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 53.759998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 265.4,
        "trend": 52.725667,
        "fair_value": 51.573921,
        "relative_strength": -12.84345,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 92.447835,
        "energy": 92.371898,
        "activity_lines": [
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          52.943871
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 53.759998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 177.9,
        "trend": 52.783333,
        "fair_value": 51.604787,
        "relative_strength": -12.100472,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.526,
        "energy": 94.933723,
        "activity_lines": [
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          53.164285,
          53.010602
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 54.299999,
        "volume": 173,
        "typical_volume": 183.3,
        "trend": 52.863333,
        "fair_value": 51.641966,
        "relative_strength": -9.596549,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 97.075729,
        "energy": 98.360213,
        "activity_lines": [
          53.854666,
          53.581999,
          53.289095,
          53.108451
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 53.93,
        "volume": 86,
        "typical_volume": 141.1,
        "trend": 52.931,
        "fair_value": 51.676774,
        "relative_strength": -9.719988,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.353843,
        "energy": 88.237768,
        "activity_lines": [
          53.935332,
          53.683999,
          53.368857,
          53.177268
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 53.82,
        "volume": 4,
        "typical_volume": 111.3,
        "trend": 52.995,
        "fair_value": 51.708344,
        "relative_strength": -10.139382,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.786767,
        "energy": 85.957097,
        "activity_lines": [
          53.933333,
          53.741636,
          53.431571,
          53.234623
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 53.82,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 100.8,
        "trend": 53.039666,
        "fair_value": 51.739915,
        "relative_strength": -12.372556,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.991756,
        "energy": 66.060334,
        "activity_lines": [
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          53.788,
          53.489857,
          53.287849
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}