{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4f383b0a-8193-4752-9ad3-0093c9fe6755",
    "symbol": "GUN",
    "name": "Gunsynd Plc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -54.249,
    "architecture_energy": 38.486,
    "architecture_maturity": 33.144,
    "architecture_confidence": 89.169,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 26.58,
        "rotation_up": 17.06,
        "upward_expansion": 8.69,
        "deceleration": 39.75,
        "rotation_down": 57.93,
        "downward_expansion": 82.02
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.00094,
        0.000975,
        0.001007,
        0.001018
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.0009,
    "trend_reference": 0.001046,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.139305,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.00145,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.379255,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -31.361962,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.357143,
    "excess_performance": -0.408378,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.139305,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.136289,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.379255,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.044382,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.31362,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.028774,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.357143,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.716474,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 10751142,
      "relative_activity": 0.372629,
      "balance": 2.716474,
      "dry_up": 0.705378,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.235897,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.603943,
      "from_high_reference": -0.567308,
      "from_low_reference": 0.125
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.001046,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.00145,
      "structural_low": 0.0008,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 21,
        "median_return": -0.055556,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.054957,
        "regime_survival": 0.619048,
        "best_return": 0.269231,
        "worst_return": -0.265734,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.180651,
        "positive_rate": 0.125,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.125,
        "median_excess_return": -0.177749,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.076923,
        "worst_return": -0.300699,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.284615,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.350523,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.241379,
        "worst_return": -0.585714,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.275862,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.389426,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": -0.142857,
        "worst_return": -0.6,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.257143,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.04,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.113043,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.014815,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.039063,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.110169,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-08-22",
        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.27551,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-09-19",
        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.253846,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-10-10",
        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.113924,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-12-26",
        "end": "2026-01-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.265734,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-01-30",
        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.016667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.086957,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2026-05-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.173469,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": -0.142857,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 680245.95,
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 6.920165,
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      },
      {
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        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 0.001522,
        "relative_strength": -24.538762,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 16.054879,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 2180644,
        "typical_volume": 35973234.4,
        "trend": 0.001107,
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        "relative_strength": -22.563858,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -34.014699,
        "energy": 18.054192,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.00102,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.00095,
        "volume": 16136083,
        "typical_volume": 35050128.35,
        "trend": 0.001092,
        "fair_value": 0.001499,
        "relative_strength": -26.674244,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -50.82207,
        "energy": 31.061256,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.000993,
          0.001025,
          0.001028,
          0.001043
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.0011,
        "volume": 31386097,
        "typical_volume": 34068536.5,
        "trend": 0.001081,
        "fair_value": 0.001484,
        "relative_strength": -15.886634,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -34.357461,
        "energy": 16.562154,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.001023,
          0.001034,
          0.001035,
          0.001043
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.00085,
        "volume": 23133395,
        "typical_volume": 33124212.0,
        "trend": 0.001054,
        "fair_value": 0.001467,
        "relative_strength": -35.318356,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.515947,
        "energy": 37.469148,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.000967,
          0.000997,
          0.001019,
          0.001028
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.0009,
        "volume": 10751142,
        "typical_volume": 28852140.65,
        "trend": 0.001046,
        "fair_value": 0.00145,
        "relative_strength": -31.361962,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -54.248711,
        "energy": 38.486128,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.00094,
          0.000975,
          0.001007,
          0.001018
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}