{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4f692ab2-751c-4070-8556-cc642e6c3f27",
    "symbol": "SGHC",
    "name": "SGHC Limited",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 90.442,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 43.485,
    "architecture_energy": 30.234,
    "architecture_maturity": 73.02,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.327,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 33.43,
        "rotation_up": 37.92,
        "upward_expansion": 65.47,
        "deceleration": 85.04,
        "rotation_down": 25.91,
        "downward_expansion": 15.47
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        13.912,
        14.018622,
        13.562829,
        12.886252
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 13.05,
    "trend_reference": 11.908068,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.095896,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 7.158511,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.823005,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -0.897216,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.439287,
    "excess_performance": 0.313662,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.095896,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.083319,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.823005,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.25792,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.008972,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.084332,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.439287,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.693324,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 16476233,
      "relative_activity": 1.029807,
      "balance": 1.693324,
      "dry_up": 0.81266,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.095266,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.335467,
      "from_high_reference": -0.177175,
      "from_low_reference": 0.549871
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 11.908068,
      "fair_value_reference": 7.158511,
      "structural_low": 8.420057,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": 0.023188,
        "positive_rate": 0.526316,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.526316,
        "median_excess_return": -0.009268,
        "regime_survival": 0.789474,
        "best_return": 0.46506,
        "worst_return": -0.159664,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.163489,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.171335,
        "regime_survival": 0.833333,
        "best_return": 0.927536,
        "worst_return": -0.065601,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.353656,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.369293,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.890861,
        "worst_return": 0.248466,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 1.019847,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.804843,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "best_return": 1.559575,
        "worst_return": 0.48012,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "end": "2024-04-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.067055,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 6.87097,
        "relative_strength": 16.729058,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 15566078.85,
        "trend": 11.628373,
        "fair_value": 6.94585,
        "relative_strength": 17.053412,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.009422,
        "energy": 74.668626,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 14.36,
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        "typical_volume": 15583342.1,
        "trend": 11.721849,
        "fair_value": 7.020325,
        "relative_strength": 14.445022,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.442299,
        "energy": 66.486184,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 14.0,
        "volume": 11108594,
        "typical_volume": 15604744.3,
        "trend": 11.812372,
        "fair_value": 7.092839,
        "relative_strength": 10.112344,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.705841,
        "energy": 49.094961,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.394667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 13.05,
        "volume": 16476233,
        "typical_volume": 15999346.85,
        "trend": 11.908068,
        "fair_value": 7.158511,
        "relative_strength": -0.897216,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.485301,
        "energy": 30.234068,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}