{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4f6dbcdd-f502-4e40-9467-e1e1eaecafb7",
    "symbol": "CIBR",
    "name": "First Trust NASDAQ Cybersecurity ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 86.315,
    "architecture_energy": 72.086,
    "architecture_maturity": 81.062,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.124,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.89,
        "rotation_up": 64.33,
        "upward_expansion": 87.67,
        "deceleration": 65.72,
        "rotation_down": 27.22,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        65.582997
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 78.779999,
    "trend_reference": 60.836719,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.294942,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 51.510525,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.529396,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 16.108594,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.485858,
    "excess_performance": 0.365437,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.294942,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.082223,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.529396,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.335283,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.161086,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.265914,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.485858,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.770487,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 29100,
      "relative_activity": 0.85626,
      "balance": 0.770487,
      "dry_up": 1.86038,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.044637,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.289038,
      "from_high_reference": -0.027407,
      "from_low_reference": 0.62883
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 60.836719,
      "fair_value_reference": 51.510525,
      "structural_low": 48.366016,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 35,
        "median_return": 0.020439,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.005716,
        "regime_survival": 0.742857,
        "best_return": 0.097087,
        "worst_return": -0.083135,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
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        "regime_survival": 0.583333,
        "best_return": 0.145641,
        "worst_return": -0.053757,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.114128,
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        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
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        "worst_return": -0.138432,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "typical_volume": 22010.0,
        "trend": 56.083763,
        "fair_value": 48.087755,
        "relative_strength": -18.057634,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -40.786197,
        "energy": 25.016196,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 22220.0,
        "trend": 55.830174,
        "fair_value": 48.243065,
        "relative_strength": -15.979292,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "direction": -26.844978,
        "energy": 18.049369,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 20600,
        "typical_volume": 22345.0,
        "trend": 55.715416,
        "fair_value": 48.411463,
        "relative_strength": -10.482854,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "energy": 28.429403,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 63.034107,
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        "typical_volume": 22315.0,
        "trend": 55.791119,
        "fair_value": 48.606563,
        "relative_strength": -1.327865,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 51.295352,
        "energy": 66.514044,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 11100,
        "typical_volume": 22460.0,
        "trend": 55.941249,
        "fair_value": 48.824122,
        "relative_strength": 3.653444,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 57.600984,
        "energy": 83.559394,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 70.937103,
        "volume": 14300,
        "typical_volume": 22845.0,
        "trend": 56.214598,
        "fair_value": 49.060802,
        "relative_strength": 8.448315,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 67.531293,
        "energy": 88.354442,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 70.097847,
        "volume": 90400,
        "typical_volume": 26815.0,
        "trend": 56.516455,
        "fair_value": 49.295467,
        "relative_strength": 8.456243,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.678731,
        "energy": 94.524931,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 68.988831,
        "volume": 48700,
        "typical_volume": 28565.0,
        "trend": 56.79696,
        "fair_value": 49.510579,
        "relative_strength": 5.320949,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.552511,
        "energy": 88.81466,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 69.048775,
        "volume": 1700,
        "typical_volume": 27310.0,
        "trend": 57.149571,
        "fair_value": 49.736233,
        "relative_strength": 5.51481,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.140987,
        "energy": 88.008346,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 70.147797,
        "volume": 26600,
        "typical_volume": 27925.0,
        "trend": 57.505589,
        "fair_value": 49.96525,
        "relative_strength": 7.394667,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.80556,
        "energy": 85.945038,
        "activity_lines": [
          69.668892,
          67.542968,
          61.692079,
          59.320542
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 74.209999,
        "volume": 1100,
        "typical_volume": 24415.0,
        "trend": 57.985053,
        "fair_value": 50.221703,
        "relative_strength": 12.879522,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.88264,
        "energy": 74.151956,
        "activity_lines": [
          71.124201,
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          60.398245
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 75.32,
        "volume": 95100,
        "typical_volume": 28420.0,
        "trend": 58.527766,
        "fair_value": 50.481715,
        "relative_strength": 14.369789,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.538627,
        "energy": 86.746649,
        "activity_lines": [
          72.731318,
          70.901679,
          64.843702,
          61.516629
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 74.949997,
        "volume": 122500,
        "typical_volume": 31970.0,
        "trend": 59.078744,
        "fair_value": 50.739545,
        "relative_strength": 13.974103,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.877133,
        "energy": 85.506425,
        "activity_lines": [
          73.866957,
          72.039796,
          66.268171,
          62.576128
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 72.199997,
        "volume": 50800,
        "typical_volume": 32340.0,
        "trend": 59.559986,
        "fair_value": 50.974791,
        "relative_strength": 9.598163,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.709486,
        "energy": 67.135627,
        "activity_lines": [
          73.688518,
          72.366254,
          67.308901,
          63.42266
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 74.43,
        "volume": 50500,
        "typical_volume": 33165.0,
        "trend": 60.164801,
        "fair_value": 51.229542,
        "relative_strength": 13.443774,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.356002,
        "energy": 67.227159,
        "activity_lines": [
          74.043332,
          72.931515,
          68.465209,
          64.382016
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 78.779999,
        "volume": 29100,
        "typical_volume": 33985.0,
        "trend": 60.836719,
        "fair_value": 51.510525,
        "relative_strength": 16.108594,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.314905,
        "energy": 72.085964,
        "activity_lines": [
          75.562665,
          74.158236,
          69.927477,
          65.582997
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}