{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4f701785-9876-49f4-9f72-b0db0dd31d95", "symbol": "K1SG34", "name": "Keysight Technologies, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 92.674, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 19.31, "architecture_energy": 18.076, "architecture_maturity": 72.705, "architecture_confidence": 95.844, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.73, "rotation_up": 21.85, "upward_expansion": 43.53, "deceleration": 85.09, "rotation_down": 38.91, "downward_expansion": 35.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 830.213989, 841.117813, 851.478379, 828.958752 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 868.599976, "trend_reference": 772.231333, "distance_from_trend": 0.124792, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 477.989168, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.817196, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 33.227117, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.536122, "excess_performance": 0.59317, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.124792, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.204647, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.817196, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.198432, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.332271, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.094869, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.536122, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.828729, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14, "relative_activity": 0.200573, "balance": 1.828729, "dry_up": 2.739971, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.052413, "annualized_volatility": 0.423358, "from_high_reference": -0.082158, "from_low_reference": 0.930651 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 772.231333, "fair_value_reference": 477.989168, "structural_low": 565.450012, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.004915, "regime_survival": 0.466667, "best_return": 0.378053, "worst_return": -0.110466, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.081959, "positive_rate": 0.777778, "directional_follow_through": 0.777778, "median_excess_return": 0.053858, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.639291, "worst_return": -0.226522, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.079791, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.008439, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.731985, "worst_return": -0.315267, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"date": "2026-07-10", "close": 823.359985, "volume": 97, "typical_volume": 38.55, "trend": 723.604002, "fair_value": 467.188014, "relative_strength": 25.976591, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.559026, "energy": 41.974335, "activity_lines": [ 860.845333, 868.390908, 855.81081, 807.498302 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 811.200012, "volume": 103, "typical_volume": 42.55, "trend": 735.326002, "fair_value": 469.804681, "relative_strength": 26.226004, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.981868, "energy": 26.802921, "activity_lines": [ 839.09067, 857.228729, 853.891526, 813.149657 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 804.27002, "volume": 36, "typical_volume": 41.25, "trend": 746.817002, "fair_value": 472.376925, "relative_strength": 24.104324, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 1.587296, "energy": 22.006448, "activity_lines": [ 820.222009, 846.159641, 851.159956, 817.597658 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 812.909973, "volume": 612, "typical_volume": 69.75, "trend": 758.596001, "fair_value": 475.004553, "relative_strength": 21.912425, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 2.646821, "energy": 22.755052, "activity_lines": [ 813.70533, 838.107454, 848.828525, 821.861721 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 868.599976, "volume": 14, "typical_volume": 69.8, "trend": 772.231333, "fair_value": 477.989168, "relative_strength": 33.227117, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.309786, "energy": 18.075509, "activity_lines": [ 830.213989, 841.117813, 851.478379, 828.958752 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }