{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4f81f634-e3e5-42f4-954b-ce7ffb1b377d", "symbol": "LATTEYS", "name": "Latteys Industries Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 93.714, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -45.518, "architecture_energy": 40.211, "architecture_maturity": 7.472, "architecture_confidence": 72.906, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.79, "rotation_up": 10.44, "upward_expansion": 13.51, "deceleration": 47.99, "rotation_down": 61.95, "downward_expansion": 77.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.225334, 20.579818, 21.247524, 21.229075 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 20.440001, "trend_reference": 21.367333, "distance_from_trend": -0.0434, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 24.795321, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.175651, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.306577, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.043966, "excess_performance": -0.000257, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.0434, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.035059, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.175651, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.01064, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.063066, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.086932, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.043966, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.82444, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 169352, "relative_activity": 0.503062, "balance": 3.82444, "dry_up": 0.389813, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.099729, "annualized_volatility": 0.405828, "from_high_reference": -0.447568, "from_low_reference": 0.29449 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.367333, "fair_value_reference": 24.795321, "structural_low": 15.79, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.017142, "positive_rate": 0.5625, "directional_follow_through": 0.4375, "median_excess_return": 0.004582, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.385366, "worst_return": -0.281034, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.106667, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.067791, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.401361, "worst_return": -0.48777, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.694679, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.616368, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 2.239593, "worst_return": -0.576978, "sufficient": false }, { 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{ "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-08-30", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.638149, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2025-01-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.137359, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.305275, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.148925, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.165653, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-24", 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-8.496458, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.290684, "energy": 39.450759, "activity_lines": [ 20.572667, 21.298364, 21.52119, 21.461484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 20.4, "volume": 85428, "typical_volume": 345410.3, "trend": 21.464, "fair_value": 24.974679, "relative_strength": -3.35632, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.208837, "energy": 42.478966, "activity_lines": [ 20.408, 21.014182, 21.440952, 21.387462 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.98, "volume": 125233, "typical_volume": 337213.5, "trend": 21.411, "fair_value": 24.881282, "relative_strength": -7.68488, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.653521, "energy": 46.506504, "activity_lines": [ 20.182, 20.729818, 21.322714, 21.29172 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.440001, "volume": 169352, "typical_volume": 336642.55, "trend": 21.367333, "fair_value": 24.795321, "relative_strength": -6.306577, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.518176, "energy": 40.211251, "activity_lines": [ 20.225334, 20.579818, 21.247524, 21.229075 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }