{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4f820fac-d336-47ab-b610-9bec14674a0d", "symbol": "UPOIC", "name": "United Palm Oil Industry Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 84.541, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": -11.835, "architecture_energy": 16.66, "architecture_maturity": 39.803, "architecture_confidence": 76.043, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.74, "rotation_up": 20.58, "upward_expansion": 43.67, "deceleration": 72.31, "rotation_down": 36.35, "downward_expansion": 33.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.8, 6.833636, 6.865952, 6.857063 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 6.65, "trend_reference": 6.773957, "distance_from_trend": -0.018299, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.033293, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.102217, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.625271, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.051829, "excess_performance": -0.140496, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.018299, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035876, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.102217, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.064454, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.116253, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.050653, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.051829, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.73236, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 188800, "relative_activity": 2.406628, "balance": 0.73236, "dry_up": 1.170809, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.023713, "annualized_volatility": 0.236847, "from_high_reference": -0.189024, "from_low_reference": 0.156143 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.773957, "fair_value_reference": 6.033293, "structural_low": 6.037102, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout 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"relative_strength": -10.061959, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.21531, "energy": 16.106296, "activity_lines": [ 6.88, 6.887273, 6.910284, 6.837678 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 6.85, "volume": 110500, "typical_volume": 228930.0, "trend": 6.726189, "fair_value": 6.008558, "relative_strength": -11.298265, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.921945, "energy": 11.638275, "activity_lines": [ 6.873333, 6.879091, 6.906035, 6.846903 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.85, "volume": 53500, "typical_volume": 220700.0, "trend": 6.746947, "fair_value": 6.016571, "relative_strength": -11.276853, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.734876, "energy": 9.62928, "activity_lines": [ 6.866667, 6.871818, 6.899048, 6.85489 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.9, "volume": 14600, "typical_volume": 189045.0, "trend": 6.769372, "fair_value": 6.024905, "relative_strength": -9.32772, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.040487, "energy": 12.80243, "activity_lines": [ 6.876667, 6.876364, 6.894762, 6.864765 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.65, "volume": 188800, "typical_volume": 78450.0, "trend": 6.773957, "fair_value": 6.033293, "relative_strength": -11.625271, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": -11.834763, "energy": 16.659934, "activity_lines": [ 6.8, 6.833636, 6.865952, 6.857063 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }