{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4f95b6d8-ca22-458e-bff2-4a41cf850f60", "symbol": "688360", "name": "Damon Technology Group Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.432, "architecture_energy": 73.17, "architecture_maturity": 20.052, "architecture_confidence": 79.432, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.51, "rotation_up": 8.9, "upward_expansion": 16.35, "deceleration": 37.33, "rotation_down": 76.11, "downward_expansion": 92.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.852667, 16.236, 18.125299, 18.611387 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 15.88, "trend_reference": 19.26354, "distance_from_trend": -0.175645, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 14.684276, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.081429, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.673537, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.180599, "excess_performance": -0.137395, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.175645, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054374, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.081429, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.329492, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.216735, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.088965, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.180599, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.362581, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 25352752, "relative_activity": 0.886775, "balance": 1.362581, "dry_up": 0.887415, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.183408, "annualized_volatility": 0.729919, "from_high_reference": -0.430012, "from_low_reference": 0.221538 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.26354, "fair_value_reference": 14.684276, "structural_low": 13.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.007068, "positive_rate": 0.533333, "directional_follow_through": 0.466667, "median_excess_return": -0.013964, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.47146, "worst_return": -0.122479, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.107004, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": 0.013487, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.481584, "worst_return": -0.085339, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.059648, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.0006, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 1.143647, "worst_return": 0.007333, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.491045, "energy": 43.458004, "activity_lines": [ 18.492, 19.926857, 19.961846, 19.964107 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 14.67, "volume": 27837551, "typical_volume": 27504030.5, "trend": 19.940874, "fair_value": 14.607719, "relative_strength": -26.531472, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.448264, "energy": 68.038648, "activity_lines": [ 17.004666, 18.840365, 19.475674, 19.610373 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.43, "volume": 26717145, "typical_volume": 28073426.95, "trend": 19.69054, "fair_value": 14.62639, "relative_strength": -32.797148, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.918187, "energy": 79.314456, "activity_lines": [ 15.502666, 17.619894, 18.896739, 19.190317 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.28, "volume": 21576719, "typical_volume": 28263642.35, "trend": 19.442874, "fair_value": 14.64881, "relative_strength": -28.164604, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.949106, "energy": 78.642001, "activity_lines": [ 14.795333, 16.6698, 18.422519, 18.84125 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.88, "volume": 25352752, "typical_volume": 28589821.6, "trend": 19.26354, "fair_value": 14.684276, "relative_strength": -21.673537, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.431565, "energy": 73.170092, "activity_lines": [ 14.852667, 16.236, 18.125299, 18.611387 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }