{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4f9fbf8e-2a26-42b6-ae2d-973511bdfdda", "symbol": "ROBO", "name": "RoboGroup T.E.K. Ltd.", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -29.83, "architecture_energy": 30.971, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 78.954, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.01, "rotation_up": 39.25, "upward_expansion": 23.2, "deceleration": 44.17, "rotation_down": 24.52, "downward_expansion": 59.53 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.452133, 0.415564, 0.433795, 0.481551 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.481, "trend_reference": 0.548733, "distance_from_trend": -0.123436, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.951122, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.494281, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -37.746013, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.221683, "excess_performance": -0.250583, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.123436, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.160915, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.494281, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.043848, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.37746, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.151095, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.221683, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.305998, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 296239, "relative_activity": 1.164784, "balance": 1.305998, "dry_up": 2.090674, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.127619, "annualized_volatility": 0.801989, "from_high_reference": -0.558716, "from_low_reference": 0.457576 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.548733, "fair_value_reference": 0.951122, "structural_low": 0.33, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 44, "median_return": -0.043733, "positive_rate": 0.409091, "directional_follow_through": 0.590909, "median_excess_return": -0.070988, "regime_survival": 0.909091, "best_return": 0.433036, "worst_return": -0.345778, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.083445, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.126061, "regime_survival": 0.733333, "best_return": 0.65038, "worst_return": -0.501708, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.211669, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.19908, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.535354, "worst_return": -0.485603, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2023-10-20", "end": "2024-01-19", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.443709, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-01-26", "end": "2024-03-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.323043, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-03-08", "end": "2024-04-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.107232, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-04-26", "end": "2024-07-26", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.045245, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-08-02", "end": "2024-11-01", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.069697, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-11-08", "end": "2024-12-06", 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-48.047849, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.517717, "energy": 57.602276, "activity_lines": [ 0.375333, 0.379655, 0.445148, 0.501284 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.395, "volume": 187042, "typical_volume": 226908.1, "trend": 0.559733, "fair_value": 0.958359, "relative_strength": -52.077912, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.02313, "energy": 48.160735, "activity_lines": [ 0.384133, 0.378164, 0.434252, 0.490127 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.5, "volume": 501211, "typical_volume": 243407.95, "trend": 0.5542, "fair_value": 0.954455, "relative_strength": -36.468319, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.410106, "energy": 25.192269, "activity_lines": [ 0.426133, 0.398382, 0.434443, 0.486273 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.481, "volume": 296239, "typical_volume": 254329.45, "trend": 0.548733, "fair_value": 0.951122, "relative_strength": -37.746013, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -29.829928, "energy": 30.971392, "activity_lines": [ 0.452133, 0.415564, 0.433795, 0.481551 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }