{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4fac374f-f7e1-4ca8-ae3b-80b3f7116f81", "symbol": "600908", "name": "Wuxi Rural Commercial Bank Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -25.408, "architecture_energy": 24.536, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 71.594, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.42, "rotation_up": 38.69, "upward_expansion": 20.52, "deceleration": 44.16, "rotation_down": 21.01, "downward_expansion": 54.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.451333, 5.355458, 5.40065, 5.492049 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 5.39, "trend_reference": 5.613121, "distance_from_trend": -0.03975, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.363274, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.004983, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.940559, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.086441, "excess_performance": -0.043237, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.03975, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.039749, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.004983, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.066383, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.059406, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.060307, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.086441, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.705249, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 104516473, "relative_activity": 1.589917, "balance": 0.705249, "dry_up": 1.686939, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.04334, "annualized_volatility": 0.180634, "from_high_reference": -0.148499, "from_low_reference": 0.070439 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.613121, "fair_value_reference": 5.363274, "structural_low": 5.035316, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.024329, "positive_rate": 0.6875, "directional_follow_through": 0.3125, "median_excess_return": 0.016353, "regime_survival": 0.6875, "best_return": 0.122378, "worst_return": -0.052083, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.049713, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": 0.054104, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.164286, "worst_return": -0.013962, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.039292, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.021089, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.138413, "worst_return": -0.040349, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"typical_volume": 63184930.7, "trend": 5.640454, "fair_value": 5.353588, "relative_strength": -3.662952, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.463498, "energy": 35.579222, "activity_lines": [ 5.300789, 5.279772, 5.399303, 5.506989 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.65, "volume": 115677789, "typical_volume": 64424670.25, "trend": 5.631121, "fair_value": 5.359352, "relative_strength": 0.971755, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -15.058182, "energy": 19.88961, "activity_lines": [ 5.439559, 5.342979, 5.411667, 5.507605 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.39, "volume": 104516473, "typical_volume": 65737056.7, "trend": 5.613121, "fair_value": 5.363274, "relative_strength": -5.940559, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -25.408127, "energy": 24.535702, "activity_lines": [ 5.451333, 5.355458, 5.40065, 5.492049 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }