{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4fadced1-294f-4dbf-bfe2-6aacd704cc65", "symbol": "CRSR", "name": "Corsair Gaming, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 91.466, "architecture_energy": 85.026, "architecture_maturity": 22.0, "architecture_confidence": 82.573, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.92, "rotation_up": 74.89, "upward_expansion": 88.81, "deceleration": 49.66, "rotation_down": 11.81, "downward_expansion": 17.81 }, "activity_lines": [ 196.848005, 181.746731, 166.949288, 151.058948 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 246.460007, "trend_reference": 132.277001, "distance_from_trend": 0.863211, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 169.35968, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.455246, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 77.97115, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 1.899529, "excess_performance": 1.954196, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.863211, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.192809, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.455246, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.736059, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.779711, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.92142, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.899529, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 6.696629, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6466, "relative_activity": 12.232312, "balance": 6.696629, "dry_up": 3.076523, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.095172, "annualized_volatility": 1.214835, "from_high_reference": -0.002186, "from_low_reference": 2.08075 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 132.277001, "fair_value_reference": 169.35968, "structural_low": 80.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.057613, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.073818, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.441176, "worst_return": -0.37234, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.142004, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.190735, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.078125, "worst_return": -0.205882, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.11489, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.134638, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.023529, "worst_return": -0.20625, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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106.486762, 106.888904 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-22", "close": 120.0, "volume": 46, "typical_volume": 457.35, "trend": 109.128667, "fair_value": 178.112244, "relative_strength": -17.540684, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 41.489741, "energy": 79.320365, "activity_lines": [ 122.6, 114.785637, 107.940858, 107.51071 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-29", "close": 210.0, "volume": 254, "typical_volume": 469.55, "trend": 110.895334, "fair_value": 177.284872, "relative_strength": 43.520169, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 98.519778, "energy": 99.32089, "activity_lines": [ 152.866667, 133.210546, 117.966381, 114.018538 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-05", "close": 200.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 469.55, "trend": 113.628667, "fair_value": 176.515641, "relative_strength": 41.531217, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 97.135875, "energy": 98.948841, "activity_lines": [ 172.933333, 147.726364, 126.563334, 119.767226 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 200.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 461.35, "trend": 116.568667, "fair_value": 175.752821, "relative_strength": 37.68907, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.052091, "energy": 96.502632, "activity_lines": [ 186.8, 160.375455, 134.731715, 125.33957 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 140.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 459.15, "trend": 117.835334, "fair_value": 174.73359, "relative_strength": -2.582887, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.160744, "energy": 68.313076, "activity_lines": [ 176.0, 160.218182, 136.709619, 126.851269 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 145.0, "volume": 100, "typical_volume": 334.75, "trend": 119.321334, "fair_value": 173.74, "relative_strength": 2.199972, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.473275, "energy": 64.883684, "activity_lines": [ 166.333333, 160.163636, 138.925619, 128.603828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 166.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 159.65, "trend": 121.188, "fair_value": 172.913077, "relative_strength": 18.014099, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.664148, "energy": 48.260598, "activity_lines": [ 162.0, 163.236364, 142.855905, 131.615355 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 164.070007, "volume": 1022, "typical_volume": 208.7, "trend": 122.657001, "fair_value": 172.073782, "relative_strength": 18.455523, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.334263, "energy": 29.882758, "activity_lines": [ 159.956669, 164.885456, 146.37381, 134.381936 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 164.070007, "volume": 5, "typical_volume": 207.35, "trend": 124.126001, "fair_value": 171.330641, "relative_strength": 19.069343, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.499056, "energy": 34.460567, "activity_lines": [ 160.308671, 165.496912, 149.562859, 137.053743 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 164.070007, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 206.55, "trend": 125.595001, "fair_value": 170.57468, "relative_strength": 20.317299, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.334849, "energy": 38.702471, "activity_lines": [ 163.056006, 165.488913, 152.446812, 139.630776 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 184.0, "volume": 34, "typical_volume": 208.25, "trend": 127.728334, "fair_value": 169.766987, "relative_strength": 34.027789, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.947195, "energy": 51.080126, "activity_lines": [ 170.842004, 168.521458, 156.923764, 143.39884 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 246.460007, "volume": 6466, "typical_volume": 528.6, "trend": 132.277001, "fair_value": 169.35968, "relative_strength": 77.97115, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 91.466031, "energy": 85.025546, "activity_lines": [ 196.848005, 181.746731, 166.949288, 151.058948 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }