{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4fd1e4c8-b05d-455f-9795-49216f94a927", "symbol": "PSIL", "name": "ADVISORSHARES TRUST PSYCHEDELICS ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 75.75, "architecture_energy": 58.826, "architecture_maturity": 48.0, "architecture_confidence": 83.747, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.24, "rotation_up": 64.91, "upward_expansion": 81.94, "deceleration": 56.47, "rotation_down": 18.28, "downward_expansion": 8.61 }, "activity_lines": [ 24.242667, 23.569567, 22.265598, 21.054031 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 25.41, "trend_reference": 19.592753, "distance_from_trend": 0.296908, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 13.805017, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.840635, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 23.490615, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.539067, "excess_performance": 0.413442, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.296908, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.108508, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.840635, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.325438, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.234906, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.123485, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.539067, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.167194, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 125997, "relative_activity": 0.630419, "balance": 1.167194, "dry_up": 1.113017, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.080749, "annualized_volatility": 0.358907, "from_high_reference": -0.012245, "from_low_reference": 0.815993 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.592753, "fair_value_reference": 13.805017, "structural_low": 15.8446, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.057164, "positive_rate": 0.727273, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": 0.03661, "regime_survival": 0.818182, "best_return": 0.179367, "worst_return": -0.088155, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.19269, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.124035, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.266209, "worst_return": -0.052996, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.270035, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.198953, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.396068, "worst_return": 0.144002, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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24.088686, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.237409, "energy": 78.074709, "activity_lines": [ 23.511293, 22.435398, 21.135846, 20.079059 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 23.54, "volume": 313758, "typical_volume": 194552.15, "trend": 19.110753, "fair_value": 13.699566, "relative_strength": 21.146913, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.003662, "energy": 73.574057, "activity_lines": [ 23.700633, 22.760182, 21.488322, 20.378 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.5, "volume": 101320, "typical_volume": 195833.55, "trend": 19.320753, "fair_value": 13.743633, "relative_strength": 18.971053, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.886755, "energy": 59.819358, "activity_lines": [ 23.646667, 23.012784, 21.80237, 20.661177 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.41, "volume": 125997, "typical_volume": 199862.45, "trend": 19.592753, "fair_value": 13.805017, "relative_strength": 23.490615, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.749585, "energy": 58.825944, "activity_lines": [ 24.242667, 23.569567, 22.265598, 21.054031 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }