{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4fde08f3-fd10-449a-9648-74bae2c0cc95", "symbol": "605005", "name": "CWB Automotive Electronics Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.712, "architecture_energy": 74.421, "architecture_maturity": 35.862, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.01, "rotation_up": 23.58, "upward_expansion": 16.69, "deceleration": 42.11, "rotation_down": 60.5, "downward_expansion": 90.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.02, 15.289721, 16.318964, 17.172784 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 15.38, "trend_reference": 18.063206, "distance_from_trend": -0.148545, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 17.038705, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.097349, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.345422, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.207625, "excess_performance": -0.164421, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.148545, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.063306, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.097349, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.223634, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.163454, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.085635, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.207625, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.275105, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7092500, "relative_activity": 0.586106, "balance": 0.275105, "dry_up": 0.500622, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.05625, "annualized_volatility": 0.273475, "from_high_reference": -0.293848, "from_low_reference": 0.073273 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 18.063206, "fair_value_reference": 17.038705, "structural_low": 14.33, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.046696, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.013736, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.194757, "worst_return": -0.022486, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.154156, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.087676, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.268165, "worst_return": 0.044137, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.17173, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.057595, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.244517, "worst_return": 0.143673, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.321193, "energy": 84.277808, "activity_lines": [ 15.816575, 16.237738, 17.497749, 18.083396 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 15.0, "volume": 6126984, "typical_volume": 13216045.75, "trend": 18.55754, "fair_value": 17.093167, "relative_strength": -15.924947, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.293904, "energy": 86.999593, "activity_lines": [ 15.521333, 15.902559, 17.175005, 17.844565 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 14.47, "volume": 6554100, "typical_volume": 12799599.95, "trend": 18.365206, "fair_value": 17.068792, "relative_strength": -19.516126, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.706095, "energy": 88.72899, "activity_lines": [ 15.112667, 15.54626, 16.823214, 17.580853 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.85, "volume": 4458648, "typical_volume": 12312622.35, "trend": 18.189873, "fair_value": 17.047542, "relative_strength": -17.370227, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.442891, "energy": 86.067286, "activity_lines": [ 14.950667, 15.337826, 16.533851, 17.354066 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.38, "volume": 7092500, "typical_volume": 12101062.35, "trend": 18.063206, "fair_value": 17.038705, "relative_strength": -16.345422, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.711815, "energy": 74.42134, "activity_lines": [ 15.02, 15.289721, 16.318964, 17.172784 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }