{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4fe6d2ec-8a7a-4fa6-8466-3e362eb7ec57",
    "symbol": "9619",
    "name": "Ichinen Holdings Co.,Ltd.",
    "exchange": "JPX",
    "country": "JP",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-09-18",
    "benchmark": "^N225",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 79.729,
    "architecture_energy": 72.147,
    "architecture_maturity": 87.782,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.956,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.2,
        "rotation_up": 73.07,
        "upward_expansion": 87.67,
        "deceleration": 65.8,
        "rotation_down": 18.79,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        2504.738095,
        2406.930963
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 2742.0,
    "trend_reference": 2290.19248,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.197279,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 1780.424294,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.540082,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 10.813488,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.356061,
    "excess_performance": 0.137851,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.197279,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.07749,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.540082,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.216082,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.108135,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.304092,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.356061,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.760911,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 155300,
      "relative_activity": 1.770103,
      "balance": 1.760911,
      "dry_up": 1.840486,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.0294,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.161771,
      "from_high_reference": -0.0076,
      "from_low_reference": 0.451014
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2290.19248,
      "fair_value_reference": 1780.424294,
      "structural_low": 1980.866615,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 36,
        "median_return": 0.019344,
        "positive_rate": 0.638889,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.638889,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004748,
        "regime_survival": 0.777778,
        "best_return": 0.147304,
        "worst_return": -0.059861,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.846154,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002372,
        "regime_survival": 0.615385,
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        "worst_return": -0.070963,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.081829,
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.074279,
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        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2023-11-10",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-09-04",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-09-11",
        "close": 2637.0,
        "volume": 174700,
        "typical_volume": 88560.0,
        "trend": 2269.330021,
        "fair_value": 1771.063541,
        "relative_strength": 8.219031,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 68.971532,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-09-18",
        "close": 2742.0,
        "volume": 155300,
        "typical_volume": 87735.0,
        "trend": 2290.19248,
        "fair_value": 1780.424294,
        "relative_strength": 10.813488,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}