{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4fe8f96d-b502-4ad0-8d9c-cf78282415b7", "symbol": "JUNS", "name": "Jupiter Neurosciences, Inc. Common Stock", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -79.217, "architecture_energy": 85.959, "architecture_maturity": 38.0, "architecture_confidence": 88.739, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.58, "rotation_up": 13.09, "upward_expansion": 19.86, "deceleration": 37.66, "rotation_down": 79.67, "downward_expansion": 97.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.9895, 11.556, 16.131536, 20.353242 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 5.1, "trend_reference": 27.72925, "distance_from_trend": -0.816079, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 111.245455, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.954155, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -92.637412, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.886553, "excess_performance": -1.074007, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.816079, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.46861, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.954155, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.149411, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.926374, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.192167, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.886553, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.093783, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 24139867, "relative_activity": 0.545279, "balance": 0.093783, "dry_up": 2.526382, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 1.19833, "annualized_volatility": 1.058407, "from_high_reference": -0.963033, "from_low_reference": 0.071429 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 27.72925, "fair_value_reference": 111.245455, "structural_low": 4.76, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.42401, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.425746, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.206104, "worst_return": -0.641917, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-06-12", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.715719, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-12-06", "close": 584.25, "volume": 3320307, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-12-13", "close": 915.75, "volume": 3583614, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": 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6771511, "typical_volume": 22093737.1, "trend": 37.3755, "fair_value": 116.139732, "relative_strength": -82.119316, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.401925, "energy": 53.070796, "activity_lines": [ 16.9835, 18.005318, 21.738214, 26.887968 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 12.9375, "volume": 2687077, "typical_volume": 22210632.35, "trend": 35.05675, "fair_value": 114.925588, "relative_strength": -82.44168, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.759173, "energy": 56.475815, "activity_lines": [ 15.4455, 16.843773, 20.589464, 25.311323 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.075, "volume": 389087594, "typical_volume": 41607315.9, "trend": 32.50925, "fair_value": 113.694767, "relative_strength": -87.007524, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.505794, "energy": 65.685719, "activity_lines": [ 12.9535, 15.198545, 19.200536, 23.635081 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.75, "volume": 31463655, "typical_volume": 43117361.15, "trend": 30.20925, "fair_value": 112.465517, "relative_strength": -90.061295, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.914749, "energy": 80.378339, "activity_lines": [ 10.2715, 13.4265, 17.685179, 21.973194 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.1, "volume": 24139867, "typical_volume": 44270641.25, "trend": 27.72925, "fair_value": 111.245455, "relative_strength": -92.637412, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.21682, "energy": 85.958921, "activity_lines": [ 7.9895, 11.556, 16.131536, 20.353242 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }