{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4feea31a-40ae-4a2f-be5d-107ee0d3fbf7", "symbol": "SAGA", "name": "Saga plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 82.294, "architecture_energy": 74.589, "architecture_maturity": 32.0, "architecture_confidence": 81.569, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.57, "rotation_up": 79.07, "upward_expansion": 92.71, "deceleration": 40.97, "rotation_down": 11.73, "downward_expansion": 14.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 685.466667, 657.018182, 620.388095, 595.694624 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 738.0, "trend_reference": 560.316667, "distance_from_trend": 0.317112, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 229.846795, "distance_from_fair_value": 2.210834, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 58.519361, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.419231, "excess_performance": 0.352952, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.317112, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.235675, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 2.210834, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.01575, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.585194, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.21132, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.419231, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.407107, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1815406, "relative_activity": 0.685089, "balance": 2.407107, "dry_up": 0.784969, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.090094, "annualized_volatility": 0.539155, "from_high_reference": -0.012048, "from_low_reference": 3.278013 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 560.316667, "fair_value_reference": 229.846795, "structural_low": 431.0, 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"relative_strength": 54.989413, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.532708, "energy": 71.20169, "activity_lines": [ 638.0, 608.872727, 587.404762, 566.889247 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 654.0, "volume": 1752550, "typical_volume": 2767417.7, "trend": 539.0, "fair_value": 222.475, "relative_strength": 48.699597, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.066133, "energy": 70.161979, "activity_lines": [ 648.266667, 621.072727, 595.82619, 574.895699 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 672.0, "volume": 2926609, "typical_volume": 2718817.8, "trend": 548.616667, "fair_value": 225.964744, "relative_strength": 48.009944, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.471544, "energy": 62.671015, "activity_lines": [ 658.0, 634.109091, 605.457143, 583.476344 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 738.0, "volume": 1815406, "typical_volume": 2649885.3, "trend": 560.316667, "fair_value": 229.846795, "relative_strength": 58.519361, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.294478, "energy": 74.589394, "activity_lines": [ 685.466667, 657.018182, 620.388095, 595.694624 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }