{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4ff8c90f-15d3-486d-ac78-a31ddd54076d", "symbol": "RAAA", "name": "Corton Enhanced Income Fund Class ETF", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 86.274, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 62.481, "architecture_energy": 60.734, "architecture_maturity": 32.464, "architecture_confidence": 66.751, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.3, "rotation_up": 66.48, "upward_expansion": 87.72, "deceleration": 46.46, "rotation_down": 15.52, "downward_expansion": 12.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.100662, 25.075109, 25.035831, 24.999305 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 25.1, "trend_reference": 24.955288, "distance_from_trend": 0.005799, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 24.482724, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.025213, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -10.316328, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.010029, "excess_performance": -0.110392, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.005799, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004157, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.025213, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003399, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.103163, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002833, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.010029, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.277778, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.277778, "dry_up": 0.047619, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.003147, "annualized_volatility": 0.013186, "from_high_reference": -0.003537, "from_low_reference": 0.025038 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 24.955288, "fair_value_reference": 24.482724, "structural_low": 24.761192, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.001996, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.010438, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.003994, "worst_return": -0.001984, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.006802, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.036408, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.006802, "worst_return": 0.006802, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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-8.592836, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.998295, "energy": 50.37011, "activity_lines": [ 25.060024, 25.045124, 25.008206, 24.976209 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.139999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 550.0, "trend": 24.94599, "fair_value": 24.476425, "relative_strength": -7.671561, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.078148, "energy": 61.500775, "activity_lines": [ 25.092668, 25.065115, 25.02466, 24.989369 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.1, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 525.0, "trend": 24.955288, "fair_value": 24.482724, "relative_strength": -10.316328, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.480653, "energy": 60.734356, "activity_lines": [ 25.100662, 25.075109, 25.035831, 24.999305 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }