{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4ff94942-7b7c-4122-8a30-37f1f3ab8d05",
    "symbol": "HQU",
    "name": "Oiltek International Limited",
    "exchange": "SES",
    "country": "SG",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^STI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 77.647,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": -4.288,
    "architecture_energy": 13.112,
    "architecture_maturity": 30.837,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.019,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 55.03,
        "rotation_up": 19.11,
        "upward_expansion": 42.53,
        "deceleration": 79.22,
        "rotation_down": 33.83,
        "downward_expansion": 36.53
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1.564667,
        1.581818,
        1.7501,
        1.667628
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 1.49,
    "trend_reference": 1.464408,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.017476,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.561847,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.651969,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 5.594554,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 1.470929,
    "excess_performance": 1.316094,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.017476,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.261191,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.651969,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -2.561499,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.055946,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -1.113728,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.470929,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.750469,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3797900,
      "relative_activity": 0.460616,
      "balance": 0.750469,
      "dry_up": 0.719426,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.168301,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.956684,
      "from_high_reference": -0.446097,
      "from_low_reference": 1.491522
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1.464408,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.561847,
      "structural_low": 0.603012,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.068571,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.127785,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.3,
        "worst_return": -0.143791,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.630203,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.581127,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.266671,
        "worst_return": -0.16959,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 1.762918,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 1.609726,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.783627,
        "worst_return": 1.422228,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 6.195015,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 5.97563,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 6.195015,
        "worst_return": 6.195015,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2023-11-10",
        "end": "2023-12-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.085116,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-12-15",
        "end": "2024-02-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.149993,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-02-09",
        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.994081,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-09-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.077779,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-09-27",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 1.271854,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.3,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.16959,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2026-01-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.014084,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-01-09",
        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.067164,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-03-13",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.017646,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.70339,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
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        "return": -0.148571,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "energy": 22.159553,
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          1.575333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1.73,
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        "typical_volume": 9055595.0,
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        "fair_value": 0.543565,
        "relative_strength": 25.512675,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 14.795341,
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          1.623333,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.5,
        "volume": 4806200,
        "typical_volume": 8589235.0,
        "trend": 1.437002,
        "fair_value": 0.552752,
        "relative_strength": 7.776313,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -4.255578,
        "energy": 11.257718,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.596,
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          1.77964,
          1.664209
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1.49,
        "volume": 3797900,
        "typical_volume": 8245255.0,
        "trend": 1.464408,
        "fair_value": 0.561847,
        "relative_strength": 5.594554,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -4.28773,
        "energy": 13.112284,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.564667,
          1.581818,
          1.7501,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}