{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4ffec7a8-f9d4-44af-a8b5-63c180a8fab9", "symbol": "IDUB", "name": "APTUS INTERNATIONAL ENHANCED YIELD ETF", "exchange": "CBOE", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 92.307, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 71.249, "architecture_energy": 40.114, "architecture_maturity": 25.088, "architecture_confidence": 73.337, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.6, "rotation_up": 49.06, "upward_expansion": 77.77, "deceleration": 63.12, "rotation_down": 24.92, "downward_expansion": 4.44 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.513667, 27.409991, 27.198102, 26.814252 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 28.21, "trend_reference": 26.366301, "distance_from_trend": 0.069926, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 20.913012, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.348921, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.604537, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.094152, "excess_performance": -0.031473, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.069926, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.047442, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.348921, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.005749, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.006045, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.022975, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.094152, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.834136, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 157469, "relative_activity": 0.987653, "balance": 1.834136, "dry_up": 1.14832, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.030449, "annualized_volatility": 0.197419, "from_high_reference": -0.001062, "from_low_reference": 0.295084 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 26.366301, "fair_value_reference": 20.913012, "structural_low": 23.76, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.011172, "positive_rate": 0.875, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": -0.007744, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.108116, "worst_return": -0.029616, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.017186, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.033089, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.129423, "worst_return": 0.00224, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.048239, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.084235, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.062215, "worst_return": 0.017015, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 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"color": "orange", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.042424, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0298, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.009018, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.055641, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.021986, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.782763, "energy": 32.764933, "activity_lines": [ 27.266433, 27.251414, 26.907012, 26.554822 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 26.955, "volume": 155086, "typical_volume": 159178.35, "trend": 26.157287, "fair_value": 20.779341, "relative_strength": 0.790873, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.808813, "energy": 25.54285, "activity_lines": [ 27.132807, 27.212358, 26.963815, 26.61219 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 27.33, "volume": 180828, "typical_volume": 161386.25, "trend": 26.250748, "fair_value": 20.842995, "relative_strength": 0.978131, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.634793, "energy": 25.114465, "activity_lines": [ 27.184667, 27.234191, 27.045941, 26.687849 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 28.21, "volume": 157469, "typical_volume": 159437.55, "trend": 26.366301, "fair_value": 20.913012, "relative_strength": 0.604537, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.249301, "energy": 40.114001, "activity_lines": [ 27.513667, 27.409991, 27.198102, 26.814252 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }