{ "ticker": { "uuid": "50057491-ecd5-4682-be79-c47b17e0d0a8", "symbol": "FIS", "name": "Fidelity National Information Services Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -24.848, "architecture_energy": 16.94, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 69.741, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.12, "rotation_up": 33.59, "upward_expansion": 19.54, "deceleration": 43.93, "rotation_down": 18.69, "downward_expansion": 51.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 42.884, 41.904645, 42.006958, 43.283888 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 42.77, "trend_reference": 45.81688, "distance_from_trend": -0.066501, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 63.926791, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.330953, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -29.941335, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.159688, "excess_performance": -0.285313, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.066501, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.144462, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.330953, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005909, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.299413, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.097386, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.159688, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.555874, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 49154386, "relative_activity": 1.54179, "balance": 0.555874, "dry_up": 1.067141, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.079648, "annualized_volatility": 0.360628, "from_high_reference": -0.394187, "from_low_reference": 0.142972 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 45.81688, "fair_value_reference": 63.926791, "structural_low": 37.42, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 36, "median_return": -0.004769, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.016468, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.176845, "worst_return": -0.144391, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.095114, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.077452, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.358577, "worst_return": -0.296051, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.007786, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.09989, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.496603, "worst_return": -0.377639, 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44.553445 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 41.91, "volume": 27643320, "typical_volume": 30818211.8, "trend": 48.037927, "fair_value": 64.133909, "relative_strength": -31.696945, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.28883, "energy": 31.945196, "activity_lines": [ 41.214667, 40.790486, 42.111085, 44.109004 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 41.51, "volume": 22328936, "typical_volume": 30400304.2, "trend": 47.226446, "fair_value": 64.046925, "relative_strength": -30.825862, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.148604, "energy": 21.901169, "activity_lines": [ 41.553333, 40.900493, 41.89752, 43.687848 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 44.77, "volume": 36961092, "typical_volume": 30967897.5, "trend": 46.574925, "fair_value": 63.98581, "relative_strength": -25.076257, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -18.747877, "energy": 16.897347, "activity_lines": [ 42.758667, 41.599879, 42.037082, 43.529367 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 42.77, "volume": 49154386, "typical_volume": 31881380.8, "trend": 45.81688, "fair_value": 63.926791, "relative_strength": -29.941335, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -24.848459, "energy": 16.939656, "activity_lines": [ 42.884, 41.904645, 42.006958, 43.283888 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }