{ "ticker": { "uuid": "50076c3c-dc3d-4d70-ad00-437f241c1cdb", "symbol": "SHIVAMAUTO", "name": "Shivam Autotech Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -33.862, "architecture_energy": 18.925, "architecture_maturity": 83.615, "architecture_confidence": 69.065, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.35, "rotation_up": 21.28, "upward_expansion": 9.73, "deceleration": 55.99, "rotation_down": 38.65, "downward_expansion": 64.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.704, 17.645636, 17.826143, 17.963204 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 17.66, "trend_reference": 18.486667, "distance_from_trend": -0.044717, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 32.744679, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.460676, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.945914, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.198366, "excess_performance": -0.154657, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.044717, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.139261, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.460676, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.045809, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.209459, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007132, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.198366, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.146795, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 42124, "relative_activity": 0.243605, "balance": 1.146795, "dry_up": 0.567127, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.070172, "annualized_volatility": 0.493237, "from_high_reference": -0.506566, "from_low_reference": 0.353257 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 18.486667, "fair_value_reference": 32.744679, "structural_low": 13.05, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.048316, "positive_rate": 0.45, "directional_follow_through": 0.55, "median_excess_return": -0.065242, "regime_survival": 0.85, "best_return": 0.263653, "worst_return": -0.249293, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.104208, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.089453, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.140969, "worst_return": -0.329317, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.198249, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.27248, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.003876, "worst_return": -0.352257, "sufficient": 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19.075333, "fair_value": 32.945513, "relative_strength": -23.500726, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.051094, "energy": 18.384821, "activity_lines": [ 17.86, 17.660727, 17.871429, 18.213312 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 17.059999, "volume": 150899, "typical_volume": 233255.9, "trend": 18.871667, "fair_value": 32.882756, "relative_strength": -22.476876, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.180094, "energy": 19.919016, "activity_lines": [ 17.664666, 17.546909, 17.806571, 18.08329 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.0, "volume": 139781, "typical_volume": 198639.8, "trend": 18.649667, "fair_value": 32.830833, "relative_strength": -19.535061, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.619368, "energy": 16.271921, "activity_lines": [ 17.786666, 17.627273, 17.837476, 18.027054 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.66, "volume": 42124, "typical_volume": 172919.4, "trend": 18.486667, "fair_value": 32.744679, "relative_strength": -20.945914, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.861811, "energy": 18.925433, "activity_lines": [ 17.704, 17.645636, 17.826143, 17.963204 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }