{ "ticker": { "uuid": "501cc4a7-5293-4c10-a5c7-b38e84ecd194", "symbol": "301160", "name": "Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.776, "architecture_energy": 71.093, "architecture_maturity": 24.954, "architecture_confidence": 82.943, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.3, "rotation_up": 11.46, "upward_expansion": 17.74, "deceleration": 35.3, "rotation_down": 73.57, "downward_expansion": 88.74 }, "activity_lines": [ 36.928667, 40.746182, 41.593458, 44.533351 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 38.380001, "trend_reference": 50.29654, "distance_from_trend": -0.236926, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 42.702132, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.101216, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -34.10881, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.408811, "excess_performance": -0.416211, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.236926, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.118917, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.101216, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.1325, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.341088, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.084165, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.408811, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.579258, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 22848852, "relative_activity": 1.487676, "balance": 0.579258, "dry_up": 1.432542, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.150726, "annualized_volatility": 0.917754, "from_high_reference": -0.523526, "from_low_reference": 0.225415 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 50.29654, "fair_value_reference": 42.702132, "structural_low": 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"date": "2026-07-03", "close": 51.869999, "volume": 7560238, "typical_volume": 12880835.35, "trend": 54.992207, "fair_value": 42.238215, "relative_strength": -22.890757, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 4.657555, "energy": 26.018386, "activity_lines": [ 49.407333, 46.102503, 45.467367, 49.517267 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 43.110001, "volume": 26340268, "typical_volume": 13427069.15, "trend": 54.257207, "fair_value": 42.367222, "relative_strength": -32.945936, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -19.610539, "energy": 26.505257, "activity_lines": [ 47.860667, 45.9075, 44.930052, 48.750673 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 38.189999, "volume": 23434347, "typical_volume": 13908354.45, "trend": 53.370207, "fair_value": 42.462563, "relative_strength": -34.163259, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.58952, "energy": 25.27799, "activity_lines": [ 44.756667, 44.772884, 44.041165, 47.714079 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 35.540001, "volume": 21169518, "typical_volume": 14341788.95, "trend": 52.41754, "fair_value": 42.538026, "relative_strength": -38.253434, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.388204, "energy": 50.887637, "activity_lines": [ 41.080667, 43.232668, 43.044516, 46.563743 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 33.98, "volume": 20555552, "typical_volume": 14723126.5, "trend": 51.41354, "fair_value": 42.602171, "relative_strength": -39.359705, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.395956, "energy": 75.401415, "activity_lines": [ 37.648, 41.515449, 42.03582, 45.374224 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 38.380001, "volume": 22848852, "typical_volume": 15358760.3, "trend": 50.29654, "fair_value": 42.702132, "relative_strength": -34.10881, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.776193, "energy": 71.093052, "activity_lines": [ 36.928667, 40.746182, 41.593458, 44.533351 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }