{ "ticker": { "uuid": "501e21ae-b29c-48d8-b8aa-81037e340178", "symbol": "QTR", "name": "GLOBAL X NASDAQ 100 TAIL RISK ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 80.838, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 40.967, "architecture_energy": 26.915, "architecture_maturity": 66.339, "architecture_confidence": 82.645, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.75, "rotation_up": 27.34, "upward_expansion": 58.36, "deceleration": 88.14, "rotation_down": 31.63, "downward_expansion": 19.69 }, "activity_lines": [ 33.729907, 34.007537, 33.899075, 33.040091 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 34.3479, "trend_reference": 32.028487, "distance_from_trend": 0.072417, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 26.533777, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.294497, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.420016, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.139684, "excess_performance": -0.04777, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.072417, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.040145, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.294497, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054078, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.0342, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001022, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.139684, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.285419, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 57795, "relative_activity": 4.116438, "balance": 2.285419, "dry_up": 1.257777, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.032737, "annualized_volatility": 0.183385, "from_high_reference": -0.041319, "from_low_reference": 0.242239 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.028487, "fair_value_reference": 26.533777, "structural_low": 27.65, "invalidation": "A 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34.639165, 33.490722, 32.574242 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 33.6573, "volume": 6654, "typical_volume": 11481.0, "trend": 31.742242, "fair_value": 26.275844, "relative_strength": -1.854107, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.8565, "energy": 37.336512, "activity_lines": [ 34.309065, 34.473967, 33.626559, 32.704487 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 33.1614, "volume": 2573, "typical_volume": 11542.25, "trend": 31.81957, "fair_value": 26.356008, "relative_strength": -1.659156, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.24438, "energy": 26.313471, "activity_lines": [ 33.852488, 34.227467, 33.697225, 32.796045 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 33.1686, "volume": 3615, "typical_volume": 11577.45, "trend": 31.914223, "fair_value": 26.440011, "relative_strength": -2.090902, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.231551, "energy": 24.161372, "activity_lines": [ 33.555707, 33.998502, 33.751561, 32.883079 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 34.3479, "volume": 57795, "typical_volume": 14040.05, "trend": 32.028487, "fair_value": 26.533777, "relative_strength": -3.420016, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.966849, "energy": 26.915016, "activity_lines": [ 33.729907, 34.007537, 33.899075, 33.040091 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }