{ "ticker": { "uuid": "502b5b44-5cad-4a0c-8b4a-a3673882c1fe", "symbol": "SNSR", "name": "Global X Internet of Things UCITS ETF USD Acc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 37.375, "architecture_energy": 29.277, "architecture_maturity": 73.55, "architecture_confidence": 95.884, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.26, "rotation_up": 25.7, "upward_expansion": 50.1, "deceleration": 85.16, "rotation_down": 35.2, "downward_expansion": 28.1 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.320067, 18.541127, 18.554686, 17.882572 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 19.214001, "trend_reference": 16.975317, "distance_from_trend": 0.131879, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 14.166817, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.356268, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 11.012286, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.289703, "excess_performance": 0.238468, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.131879, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.096742, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.356268, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.015294, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.110123, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.053006, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.289703, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.583403, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8664, "relative_activity": 5.092427, "balance": 5.583403, "dry_up": 1.714374, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040013, "annualized_volatility": 0.272364, "from_high_reference": -0.053264, "from_low_reference": 0.438281 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 16.975317, "fair_value_reference": 14.166817, "structural_low": 13.8, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.012153, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.013084, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.103664, "worst_return": -0.017948, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.004831, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.041555, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.009723, "worst_return": -0.029643, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.061216, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.081854, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.112157, "worst_return": -0.020364, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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"start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.088904, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.046523, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.025231, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.108984, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.038839, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.063342, "active": false }, { "regime": 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19.2174, 19.2495, 18.167198, 17.345072 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 18.923, "volume": 1354, "typical_volume": 2640.0, "trend": 16.50095, "fair_value": 14.03551, "relative_strength": 14.036686, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.831211, "energy": 50.674263, "activity_lines": [ 19.063267, 19.234036, 18.334, 17.510391 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 17.688999, "volume": 233, "typical_volume": 2638.7, "trend": 16.608017, "fair_value": 14.063151, "relative_strength": 5.5539, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.418417, "energy": 34.262411, "activity_lines": [ 18.550267, 18.964882, 18.367379, 17.58704 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 17.625999, "volume": 435, "typical_volume": 1809.2, "trend": 16.713417, "fair_value": 14.090234, "relative_strength": 3.791511, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.548174, "energy": 31.925365, "activity_lines": [ 18.153, 18.695782, 18.385276, 17.652716 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.888, "volume": 2335, "typical_volume": 1360.5, "trend": 16.825817, "fair_value": 14.122984, "relative_strength": 3.912287, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.504102, "energy": 30.353041, "activity_lines": [ 17.990866, 18.483627, 18.41484, 17.728496 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.214001, "volume": 8664, "typical_volume": 1701.35, "trend": 16.975317, "fair_value": 14.166817, "relative_strength": 11.012286, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.374962, "energy": 29.277157, "activity_lines": [ 18.320067, 18.541127, 18.554686, 17.882572 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }