{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "50326f79-527a-4379-87b9-d79372236381",
    "symbol": "BTS",
    "name": "BTV Vier L\u00e4nder Bank AG",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 67.007,
    "architecture_energy": 67.777,
    "architecture_maturity": 63.076,
    "architecture_confidence": 87.031,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 10.13,
        "rotation_up": 56.25,
        "upward_expansion": 85.33,
        "deceleration": 64.79,
        "rotation_down": 29.95,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        92.0,
        91.563636,
        87.582965,
        83.443261
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 92.0,
    "trend_reference": 78.312402,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.174782,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 59.369019,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.54963,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 4.259078,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.351108,
    "excess_performance": 0.176861,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.174782,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.115618,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.54963,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.124551,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042591,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.028987,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.351108,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.060976,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 909,
      "relative_activity": 5.200229,
      "balance": 5.060976,
      "dry_up": 2.08667,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.019203,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.1768,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.469062
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 78.312402,
      "fair_value_reference": 59.369019,
      "structural_low": 68.092262,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 49,
        "median_return": 0.004808,
        "positive_rate": 0.530612,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.530612,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003119,
        "regime_survival": 0.836735,
        "best_return": 0.141932,
        "worst_return": -0.0625,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": 0.027523,
        "positive_rate": 0.823529,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.823529,
        "median_excess_return": 0.031733,
        "regime_survival": 0.882353,
        "best_return": 0.266279,
        "worst_return": -0.025157,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "positive_rate": 0.888889,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.888889,
        "median_excess_return": 0.052612,
        "regime_survival": 0.777778,
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        "worst_return": -0.025157,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": 0.091566,
        "sufficient": false
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
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        "active": false
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        "energy": 98.994396,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 73.559525,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 290.35,
        "trend": 68.059129,
        "fair_value": 55.208702,
        "relative_strength": -4.289152,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 95.644965,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 271.75,
        "trend": 68.539585,
        "fair_value": 55.45431,
        "relative_strength": 1.360424,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 99.964133,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 1,
        "typical_volume": 270.05,
        "trend": 69.020041,
        "fair_value": 55.696733,
        "relative_strength": 1.166118,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 19,
        "typical_volume": 266.9,
        "trend": 69.566767,
        "fair_value": 55.951085,
        "relative_strength": 1.650442,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 79.352411,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 257.2,
        "trend": 70.19643,
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        "relative_strength": 3.234146,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "energy": 79.688583,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 84.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 215.8,
        "trend": 70.826093,
        "fair_value": 56.501928,
        "relative_strength": 4.352563,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 93.950257,
        "energy": 97.558133,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 92.0,
        "volume": 1,
        "typical_volume": 192.0,
        "trend": 71.705854,
        "fair_value": 56.828631,
        "relative_strength": 11.070418,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 26,
        "typical_volume": 177.8,
        "trend": 72.518949,
        "fair_value": 57.142514,
        "relative_strength": 4.297557,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 90.650512,
        "energy": 76.71623,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 92.0,
        "volume": 0,
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        "fair_value": 57.469217,
        "relative_strength": 8.60616,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 90.618425,
        "energy": 76.705201,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 55,
        "typical_volume": 130.9,
        "trend": 74.211806,
        "fair_value": 57.785605,
        "relative_strength": 3.747199,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.656587,
        "energy": 69.009925,
        "activity_lines": [
          90.4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 92.0,
        "volume": 190,
        "typical_volume": 118.35,
        "trend": 75.058433,
        "fair_value": 58.113561,
        "relative_strength": 7.309164,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.068377,
        "energy": 71.865728,
        "activity_lines": [
          91.2,
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          83.115335,
          79.38935
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 92.0,
        "volume": 214,
        "typical_volume": 117.05,
        "trend": 75.888493,
        "fair_value": 58.434001,
        "relative_strength": 9.236102,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.478455,
        "energy": 70.86027,
        "activity_lines": [
          91.466667,
          89.810281,
          84.399462,
          80.482355
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 92.0,
        "volume": 75,
        "typical_volume": 120.8,
        "trend": 76.701985,
        "fair_value": 58.744421,
        "relative_strength": 7.574799,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.380956,
        "energy": 69.424194,
        "activity_lines": [
          91.733333,
          90.627597,
          85.572109,
          81.521807
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 92.0,
        "volume": 261,
        "typical_volume": 133.85,
        "trend": 77.515477,
        "fair_value": 59.054841,
        "relative_strength": 7.475524,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.752027,
        "energy": 68.570465,
        "activity_lines": [
          91.866667,
          91.2,
          86.633277,
          82.508776
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 92.0,
        "volume": 909,
        "typical_volume": 174.8,
        "trend": 78.312402,
        "fair_value": 59.369019,
        "relative_strength": 4.259078,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.00684,
        "energy": 67.776736,
        "activity_lines": [
          92.0,
          91.563636,
          87.582965,
          83.443261
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}