{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "50369741-e235-4095-9dd2-0720aed8585f",
    "symbol": "603967",
    "name": "China Master Logistics Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 80.406,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -45.862,
    "architecture_energy": 32.867,
    "architecture_maturity": 35.466,
    "architecture_confidence": 59.031,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 34.41,
        "rotation_up": 23.0,
        "upward_expansion": 15.59,
        "deceleration": 63.89,
        "rotation_down": 42.67,
        "downward_expansion": 65.59
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        11.299333,
        11.282364,
        11.796207,
        12.030779
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 11.4,
    "trend_reference": 12.245168,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.069021,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 9.927239,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.148356,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -3.49123,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.065935,
    "excess_performance": -0.022731,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.069021,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.010503,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.148356,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.282119,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.034912,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.113179,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.065935,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.268657,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 14699520,
      "relative_activity": 0.904923,
      "balance": 0.268657,
      "dry_up": 0.877376,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.070382,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.313168,
      "from_high_reference": -0.193423,
      "from_low_reference": 0.089174
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 12.245168,
      "fair_value_reference": 9.927239,
      "structural_low": 10.63,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.023846,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": 0.021106,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
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        "worst_return": -0.022436,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.161609,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.077481,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.027778,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.120474,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.113655,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.049145,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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      },
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      },
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        "fair_value": 9.844298,
        "relative_strength": -7.651115,
        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "trend": 12.364713,
        "fair_value": 9.86569,
        "relative_strength": -0.239835,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -62.8296,
        "energy": 65.223789,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 10.94,
        "volume": 16010344,
        "typical_volume": 16618730.65,
        "trend": 12.324466,
        "fair_value": 9.884718,
        "relative_strength": -4.569131,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.856801,
        "energy": 54.718985,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 11.49,
        "volume": 13785853,
        "typical_volume": 16274410.8,
        "trend": 12.302233,
        "fair_value": 9.906547,
        "relative_strength": -0.157701,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -58.457499,
        "energy": 41.610708,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.241333,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 11.4,
        "volume": 14699520,
        "typical_volume": 16243946.35,
        "trend": 12.245168,
        "fair_value": 9.927239,
        "relative_strength": -3.49123,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -45.862014,
        "energy": 32.866917,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}