{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "503d9a48-40bf-48ca-af49-d6d5697ae5cb",
    "symbol": "M1KC34",
    "name": "McCormick & Company, Incorporated",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 93.347,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": 8.504,
    "architecture_energy": 43.099,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 39.159,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 50.08,
        "rotation_up": 53.26,
        "upward_expansion": 43.66,
        "deceleration": 44.48,
        "rotation_down": 16.67,
        "downward_expansion": 52.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        65.801333,
        64.167017,
        62.75343,
        65.151299
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 66.0,
    "trend_reference": 69.947286,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.056432,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 90.662826,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.272028,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -20.18047,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.235763,
    "excess_performance": -0.178715,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.056432,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.112837,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.272028,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.095578,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.201805,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.236876,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.235763,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.54623,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 0.54623,
      "dry_up": 0.637415,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.022566,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.389239,
      "from_high_reference": -0.355331,
      "from_low_reference": 0.136755
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 69.947286,
      "fair_value_reference": 90.662826,
      "structural_low": 58.060001,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 35,
        "median_return": -0.002,
        "positive_rate": 0.371429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.542857,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003003,
        "regime_survival": 0.857143,
        "best_return": 0.196113,
        "worst_return": -0.22075,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": -0.015258,
        "positive_rate": 0.416667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.583333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002454,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.224441,
        "worst_return": -0.311625,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.075425,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.013526,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.214803,
        "worst_return": -0.339887,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.011109,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.002456,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.229513,
        "worst_return": -0.44352,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "end": "2024-05-24",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-07-05",
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      {
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        "end": "2024-10-11",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": -0.03469,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-01-24",
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        "active": false
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-04-04",
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        "return": 0.02664,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-05-02",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-12-19",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 521.0,
        "trend": 82.97199,
        "fair_value": 94.278284,
        "relative_strength": -43.324649,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -79.523689,
        "energy": 89.370398,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "relative_strength": -43.868092,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "relative_strength": -40.852887,
        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 91.394265,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 2310,
        "typical_volume": 662.1,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "direction": -77.448587,
        "energy": 88.93862,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 58.59499,
        "volume": 3,
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        "relative_strength": -38.687253,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 60.311951,
        "volume": 1001,
        "typical_volume": 566.55,
        "trend": 77.852251,
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        "relative_strength": -34.12377,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "energy": 78.665649,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 500.9,
        "trend": 76.860715,
        "fair_value": 92.599065,
        "relative_strength": -34.00945,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "relative_strength": -32.136053,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "relative_strength": -33.072946,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -54.464818,
        "energy": 77.877482,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 58.060001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 436.8,
        "trend": 74.103513,
        "fair_value": 91.775143,
        "relative_strength": -35.072667,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "energy": 94.218938,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 66.709999,
        "volume": 20,
        "typical_volume": 437.7,
        "trend": 73.557989,
        "fair_value": 91.578996,
        "relative_strength": -25.944257,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -49.143378,
        "energy": 51.969922,
        "activity_lines": [
          61.846435,
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          62.204316,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 66.779999,
        "volume": 12,
        "typical_volume": 438.3,
        "trend": 72.728319,
        "fair_value": 91.37108,
        "relative_strength": -23.074712,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -30.840724,
        "energy": 34.188601,
        "activity_lines": [
          63.725271,
          62.032717,
          62.291534,
          66.371412
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 64.25,
        "volume": 502,
        "typical_volume": 463.2,
        "trend": 71.696174,
        "fair_value": 91.132404,
        "relative_strength": -25.086565,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -17.385389,
        "energy": 35.233717,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.32957,
          62.63583,
          62.244858,
          65.824424
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 66.0,
        "volume": 500,
        "typical_volume": 488.1,
        "trend": 70.737267,
        "fair_value": 90.897615,
        "relative_strength": -23.667111,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 6.333485,
        "energy": 40.908442,
        "activity_lines": [
          65.254666,
          63.469824,
          62.461573,
          65.456929
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 66.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 397.7,
        "trend": 69.947286,
        "fair_value": 90.662826,
        "relative_strength": -20.18047,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 8.503666,
        "energy": 43.098675,
        "activity_lines": [
          65.801333,
          64.167017,
          62.75343,
          65.151299
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}