{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "50567429-5795-460d-824f-999d0a4c0927",
    "symbol": "NMDC",
    "name": "NMDC Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 62.771,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 3.008,
    "architecture_energy": 17.604,
    "architecture_maturity": 24.792,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.108,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 53.91,
        "rotation_up": 17.88,
        "upward_expansion": 43.25,
        "deceleration": 73.03,
        "rotation_down": 39.89,
        "downward_expansion": 39.59
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        84.453333,
        85.125091,
        86.591286,
        85.741858
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 84.919998,
    "trend_reference": 84.145661,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.009202,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 69.545556,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.22107,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 7.067449,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.040693,
    "excess_performance": 0.084402,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.009202,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045829,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.22107,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.146334,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.070674,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.155341,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040693,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.196297,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 94002952,
      "relative_activity": 1.172071,
      "balance": 1.196297,
      "dry_up": 1.07488,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.048797,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.215139,
      "from_high_reference": -0.106199,
      "from_low_reference": 0.283201
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 84.145661,
      "fair_value_reference": 69.545556,
      "structural_low": 74.550003,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": -0.01177,
        "positive_rate": 0.4375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.007234,
        "regime_survival": 0.5625,
        "best_return": 0.173987,
        "worst_return": -0.25845,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.055848,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.084246,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.324006,
        "worst_return": -0.207921,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.013038,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.116593,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.181815,
        "worst_return": -0.101045,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.160331,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.150711,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 1.131998,
        "worst_return": -0.257353,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.121888,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0149,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.099464,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.122969,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.032458,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.100501,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
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        "active": true
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        "date": "2026-04-10",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "fair_value": 68.555727,
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        "energy": 20.369746,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 82566454.9,
        "trend": 83.81839,
        "fair_value": 68.880787,
        "relative_strength": 9.833326,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 85.040001,
        "volume": 77539596,
        "typical_volume": 81362996.0,
        "trend": 83.918517,
        "fair_value": 69.214024,
        "relative_strength": 8.470408,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 0.534349,
        "energy": 17.323517,
        "activity_lines": [
          84.289333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 84.919998,
        "volume": 94002952,
        "typical_volume": 80202453.1,
        "trend": 84.145661,
        "fair_value": 69.545556,
        "relative_strength": 7.067449,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 3.007713,
        "energy": 17.603811,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}