{ "ticker": { "uuid": "506125ea-0c77-4f55-9e71-cbbe5887249a", "symbol": "SEC", "name": "Senvest Capital Inc.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 93.84, "architecture_energy": 73.368, "architecture_maturity": 61.435, "architecture_confidence": 81.308, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.06, "rotation_up": 66.54, "upward_expansion": 85.33, "deceleration": 68.22, "rotation_down": 23.06, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 406.0, 401.859819, 393.710001, 384.031097 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 430.0, "trend_reference": 374.460667, "distance_from_trend": 0.148318, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 342.128397, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.256838, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.379665, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.116883, "excess_performance": -0.003538, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.148318, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02758, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.256838, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.155047, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.033797, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.104057, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.116883, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 26.666667, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 200, "relative_activity": 0.34188, "balance": 26.666667, "dry_up": 1.538462, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.022361, "annualized_volatility": 0.259412, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.323077 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 374.460667, "fair_value_reference": 342.128397, "structural_low": 331.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.012658, "positive_rate": 0.368421, "directional_follow_through": 0.368421, "median_excess_return": -0.03055, "regime_survival": 0.578947, "best_return": 0.128571, "worst_return": -0.096923, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.037442, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.062277, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.114286, "worst_return": -0.229564, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.021962, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.046511, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.161765, "worst_return": -0.165644, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"activity_lines": [ 397.002002, 394.692365, 382.610906, 375.609657 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 400.0, "volume": 3300, "typical_volume": 600.0, "trend": 371.069, "fair_value": 340.630192, "relative_strength": -1.425014, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.869727, "energy": 87.243584, "activity_lines": [ 398.268001, 396.328547, 385.380191, 377.537463 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 400.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 585.0, "trend": 372.019, "fair_value": 341.094872, "relative_strength": -1.49772, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.276919, "energy": 88.960461, "activity_lines": [ 398.867334, 397.419274, 387.881001, 379.403979 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 386.25, "volume": 100, "typical_volume": 575.0, "trend": 372.510667, "fair_value": 341.47141, "relative_strength": -4.191783, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.621353, "energy": 54.569152, "activity_lines": [ 394.75, 395.646365, 388.810382, 380.322108 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 430.0, "volume": 200, "typical_volume": 585.0, "trend": 374.460667, "fair_value": 342.128397, "relative_strength": 3.379665, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 93.83957, "energy": 73.368173, "activity_lines": [ 406.0, 401.859819, 393.710001, 384.031097 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }