{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5061865d-7a71-4c99-b10d-944e45455459", "symbol": "PCE", "name": "Petchsrivichai Enterprise Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 53.828, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 27.166, "architecture_energy": 25.971, "architecture_maturity": 36.678, "architecture_confidence": 45.357, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.89, "rotation_up": 57.41, "upward_expansion": 32.57, "deceleration": 47.09, "rotation_down": 14.41, "downward_expansion": 18.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.278667, 2.230545, 2.251408, 2.268839 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 2.38, "trend_reference": 2.252226, "distance_from_trend": 0.056732, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.443618, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.026034, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.233165, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.215622, "excess_performance": 0.023297, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.056732, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.009392, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.026034, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002829, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.102332, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025724, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.215622, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.8723, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 41665800, "relative_activity": 3.426616, "balance": 1.8723, "dry_up": 1.750945, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.045895, "annualized_volatility": 0.312049, "from_high_reference": -0.090535, "from_low_reference": 0.227777 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.252226, "fair_value_reference": 2.443618, "structural_low": 1.957846, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"fair_value": 2.446753, "relative_strength": -18.20822, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -9.513451, "energy": 9.782104, "activity_lines": [ 2.218667, 2.195273, 2.255075, 2.263296 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.2, "volume": 4582400, "typical_volume": 11114300.0, "trend": 2.245908, "fair_value": 2.444261, "relative_strength": -18.086003, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -5.327289, "energy": 11.595188, "activity_lines": [ 2.221333, 2.196, 2.244324, 2.260188 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.38, "volume": 41665800, "typical_volume": 12159460.0, "trend": 2.252226, "fair_value": 2.443618, "relative_strength": -10.233165, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 27.166341, "energy": 25.970665, "activity_lines": [ 2.278667, 2.230545, 2.251408, 2.268839 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }