{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5072770a-1e6c-49d3-9df7-c227a6d4a0a9", "symbol": "SHPP", "name": "PACER FDS TR INDUSTRIALS AND LOGISTICS ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 78.926, "architecture_energy": 88.995, "architecture_maturity": 36.249, "architecture_confidence": 86.924, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.5, "rotation_up": 73.7, "upward_expansion": 97.04, "deceleration": 42.12, "rotation_down": 16.67, "downward_expansion": 21.38 }, "activity_lines": [ 34.74378, 34.396245, 33.94572, 33.314513 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 35.067, "trend_reference": 32.526327, "distance_from_trend": 0.078111, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 27.459548, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.277042, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.832214, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.098255, "excess_performance": -0.027369, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.078111, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.05694, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.277042, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025757, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.018322, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000698, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.098255, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.635794, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 184, "relative_activity": 0.203698, "balance": 1.635794, "dry_up": 0.568194, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.018223, "annualized_volatility": 0.154545, "from_high_reference": -0.002722, "from_low_reference": 0.29849 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.526327, "fair_value_reference": 27.459548, "structural_low": 29.111673, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.014217, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.0119, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.083801, "worst_return": -0.109585, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.025761, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.030416, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.099031, "worst_return": -0.044634, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.028803, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.052186, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.157005, "worst_return": -0.072246, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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32.012475, "fair_value": 27.27867, "relative_strength": 5.395755, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.347168, "energy": 68.564121, "activity_lines": [ 34.142947, 33.967497, 33.385118, 32.818617 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 34.7049, "volume": 671, "typical_volume": 855.6, "trend": 32.186336, "fair_value": 27.334693, "relative_strength": 5.624008, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.273326, "energy": 83.118207, "activity_lines": [ 34.429547, 34.1281, 33.586715, 32.992321 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 34.4709, "volume": 986, "typical_volume": 899.45, "trend": 32.357594, "fair_value": 27.394623, "relative_strength": 3.672296, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.920533, "energy": 79.878915, "activity_lines": [ 34.5303, 34.21725, 33.748466, 33.139713 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 35.067, "volume": 184, "typical_volume": 903.3, "trend": 32.526327, "fair_value": 27.459548, "relative_strength": 1.832214, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.925821, "energy": 88.995176, "activity_lines": [ 34.74378, 34.396245, 33.94572, 33.314513 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }