{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5074b1e1-df71-4538-b917-3346ed602cc6", "symbol": "MAYS", "name": "J W Mays Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 88.525, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.838, "architecture_energy": 61.251, "architecture_maturity": 11.088, "architecture_confidence": 92.03, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.31, "rotation_up": 12.66, "upward_expansion": 12.91, "deceleration": 40.43, "rotation_down": 63.12, "downward_expansion": 83.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 38.655333, 39.203273, 40.194286, 40.825204 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 38.79, "trend_reference": 41.4245, "distance_from_trend": -0.063598, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 41.873222, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.073632, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.570871, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.015982, "excess_performance": -0.203435, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.063598, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010439, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.073632, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.079179, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.155709, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048673, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.015982, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.195795, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1845, "relative_activity": 0.257768, "balance": 0.195795, "dry_up": 0.249455, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.044266, "annualized_volatility": 0.622191, "from_high_reference": -0.374254, "from_low_reference": 0.037166 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 41.4245, "fair_value_reference": 41.873222, "structural_low": 38.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.006806, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.004289, "regime_survival": 0.642857, "best_return": 0.10407, "worst_return": -0.061825, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.000804, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.082077, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.078479, "worst_return": -0.111907, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.00651, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.148675, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.200829, "worst_return": -0.138369, "sufficient": false }, { 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false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.036145, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.00025, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.044025, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.030418, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.016515, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-09", "end": "2026-03-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.035, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-03-27", "end": "2026-07-03", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.024756, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-07-10", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.005385, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 47.0001, "volume": 2965, "typical_volume": 1438.1, "trend": 45.151033, "fair_value": 37.275289, "relative_strength": -11.575019, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", 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"close": 39.0, "volume": 2812, "typical_volume": 7907.25, "trend": 41.5055, "fair_value": 41.987388, "relative_strength": -11.114333, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.550399, "energy": 77.3047, "activity_lines": [ 38.596, 39.837455, 40.59781, 41.177484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 38.72, "volume": 2038, "typical_volume": 7522.05, "trend": 41.464833, "fair_value": 41.91976, "relative_strength": -11.794158, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.602008, "energy": 73.067082, "activity_lines": [ 38.573333, 39.489636, 40.374548, 40.997774 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 38.79, "volume": 1845, "typical_volume": 7157.6, "trend": 41.4245, "fair_value": 41.873222, "relative_strength": -15.570871, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.837972, "energy": 61.251409, "activity_lines": [ 38.655333, 39.203273, 40.194286, 40.825204 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }