{ "ticker": { "uuid": "50759498-4947-4190-8373-84e6c3299740", "symbol": "002979", "name": "China Leadshine Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 45.662, "architecture_energy": 26.199, "architecture_maturity": 65.294, "architecture_confidence": 89.643, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.89, "rotation_up": 36.59, "upward_expansion": 64.43, "deceleration": 85.35, "rotation_down": 25.31, "downward_expansion": 14.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 59.077473, 59.107985, 56.344362, 52.507619 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 60.82, "trend_reference": 48.250356, "distance_from_trend": 0.260509, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 33.586221, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.810862, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 27.241055, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.515197, "excess_performance": 0.507797, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.260509, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.135739, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.810862, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.185787, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.272411, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.347075, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.515197, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.222169, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 81330240, "relative_activity": 1.335078, "balance": 1.222169, "dry_up": 1.276441, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.150772, "annualized_volatility": 0.673332, "from_high_reference": -0.201832, "from_low_reference": 0.772145 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 48.250356, "fair_value_reference": 33.586221, "structural_low": 34.32, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.048568, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.06907, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.23287, "worst_return": -0.122858, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.011226, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.105422, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.064951, "worst_return": -0.118512, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.048441, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.162914, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.019033, "worst_return": -0.115914, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.810438, "energy": 49.194913, "activity_lines": [ 60.583857, 58.477114, 53.799229, 50.224226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 58.279999, "volume": 83983880, "typical_volume": 55440640.65, "trend": 47.053023, "fair_value": 33.094453, "relative_strength": 27.132995, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.778375, "energy": 47.045403, "activity_lines": [ 60.173478, 58.54801, 54.690464, 50.99074 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 57.369999, "volume": 64840536, "typical_volume": 57605769.35, "trend": 47.625356, "fair_value": 33.323808, "relative_strength": 26.69735, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.918643, "energy": 34.278667, "activity_lines": [ 59.248129, 58.481089, 55.397984, 51.656352 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 60.82, "volume": 81330240, "typical_volume": 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