{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5076c072-412d-4b96-8bf8-03a2d198e839", "symbol": "OII", "name": "Oceaneering International Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 66.691, "architecture_energy": 82.546, "architecture_maturity": 92.0, "architecture_confidence": 83.948, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.06, "rotation_up": 78.99, "upward_expansion": 95.58, "deceleration": 41.9, "rotation_down": 8.55, "downward_expansion": 19.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 47.988, 44.833636, 41.811905, 39.987656 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 47.97, "trend_reference": 37.365, "distance_from_trend": 0.283822, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 25.974551, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.846808, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 35.540341, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.490214, "excess_performance": 0.364589, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.283822, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.188114, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.846808, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.333206, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.355403, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.127974, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.490214, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.352554, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4141278, "relative_activity": 0.77854, "balance": 1.352554, "dry_up": 1.114087, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.089939, "annualized_volatility": 0.436666, "from_high_reference": -0.111338, "from_low_reference": 1.281027 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 37.365, "fair_value_reference": 25.974551, "structural_low": 31.56, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": 0.028076, "positive_rate": 0.580645, "directional_follow_through": 0.580645, "median_excess_return": -0.006383, "regime_survival": 0.741935, "best_return": 0.211268, "worst_return": -0.184365, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.063959, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.014024, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.33266, "worst_return": -0.263175, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.058824, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.173682, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.421862, "worst_return": -0.363909, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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37.53081, 36.219763 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 42.1, "volume": 4481456, "typical_volume": 5610042.85, "trend": 34.284667, "fair_value": 25.314038, "relative_strength": 28.212564, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.845552, "energy": 42.264718, "activity_lines": [ 39.74, 38.976364, 38.039333, 36.758495 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 42.28, "volume": 4011912, "typical_volume": 5366349.85, "trend": 34.907, "fair_value": 25.436859, "relative_strength": 29.412828, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.728966, "energy": 62.558741, "activity_lines": [ 40.761333, 39.670727, 38.53019, 37.274323 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 52.73, "volume": 9682811, "typical_volume": 5604626.45, "trend": 35.859333, "fair_value": 25.6325, "relative_strength": 59.876017, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 93.279919, "energy": 88.818495, "activity_lines": [ 45.073333, 42.160727, 39.984, 38.424194 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 48.78, "volume": 5868610, "typical_volume": 5469497.2, "trend": 36.657, "fair_value": 25.807885, "relative_strength": 44.375712, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.133261, "energy": 86.271244, "activity_lines": [ 46.957333, 43.661818, 40.973429, 39.257785 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 47.97, "volume": 4141278, "typical_volume": 5319290.5, "trend": 37.365, "fair_value": 25.974551, "relative_strength": 35.540341, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.690573, "energy": 82.545519, "activity_lines": [ 47.988, 44.833636, 41.811905, 39.987656 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }